TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f19…325e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Richmond Spiders vs. Fordham Ramsbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$65.11
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$151.27
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Missouri State Bearsbacked New Mexico State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.67
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Montana State Bobcatsbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$57.91
Wichita State Shockers vs. Charlotte 49ersbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.04
Davidson Wildcats vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Howard Bison vs. South Carolina State Bulldogsbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+58.3%+$18.04
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. North Dakota State Bisonbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Akron Zips vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$50.14
Villanova Wildcats vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.08
Virginia Cavaliers vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50.67
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Detroit Titansbacked Detroit Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.59
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+26.1%+$3.97
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Youngstown State Penguinsbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.3%+$43.13
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Georgia Southern Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+153.4%+$61.35
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$53.54
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$66.33
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$30.48
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25%+$15.15
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$148.75
All 5 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+130.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$52.14
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+207.6%+$207.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+95.2%+$47.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40.79
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys (BO3)backed REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+65.1%+$26.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+100%+$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gastonbacked Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$28.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+65.8%+$21.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.3%+$45.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ALLINNERS vs DEPO (BO3)backed ALLINNERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.