La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-01-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc1b716937a2050b6f31f356d4e0a2ccbb24f7258a0f2bd4fd3a52de3a80bb34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $366,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 63c | 317,241$199,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,379.58 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 37c | 300,583$111,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,215.7 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 13,246$5,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,126.51 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 62c | 5,490$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.15 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 38c | 3,571$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.06 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…39b9backed No | 61c | 2,927$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 64c | 2,015$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 38c | 1,891$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.56 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 1,648$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.96 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,546$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.91 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +450.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 63c | 1,544$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.8 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed No | 59c | 1,497$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 1,410$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.31 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…6d87backed No | 37c | 1,376$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 37c | 1,209$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.47 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 38c | 799.67$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.85 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 40c | 776.54$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.3 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 64c | 726.56$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.56 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 62c | 640.04$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.04 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed Yes | 56c | 629.93$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Yes | 40c | 582.39$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 63c | 410.04$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.04 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 33c | 358.25$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 61c | 327.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 49c | 314.4$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.66 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…325ebacked Yes | 33c | 307.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 52c | 248.21$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 46c | 230.63$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 55c | 221.35$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 31c | 177$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.13 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…261dbacked Yes | 64c | 142.76$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 58c | 140.49$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked No | 38c | 130.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 41c | 120.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 63c | 100.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…6b37backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Yes | 64c | 96.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 54c | 92.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 36c | 84.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 60c | 76.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 30c | 70.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…8716backed No | 76c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 46c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 47c | 63.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 40c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 57c | 52.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 57c | 50.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed No | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 41c | 32.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 38c | 31.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…b7f6backed No | 40c | 27.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 65c | 27.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 46c | 26.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 54c | 26.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Yes | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…21dfbacked Yes | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 71c | 21.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-01-02?this page
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-01-02?No won
- Will SD Eibar vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.