La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Eibar vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6098933ae00e1f1ef4fef363d53d46f4f41c91c8dd6397c82e2aa1e338e3c80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,151$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed Yes | 51c | 992.31$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 9c | 928.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 18cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 925.78$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.03 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 24c | 673.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.79 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 652.57$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.29 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 629.58$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.31 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 77c | 368$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 71c | 349.28$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 27c | 322.22$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 314.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5ed9backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…2130backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 26c | 159.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 39c | 147.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6b01backed Yes | 53c | 138.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 26c | 116.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…ffa1backed Yes | 9c | 115$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 46c | 92.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 56c | 89.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 27c | 74.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 25c | 49.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed1a…00e1backed Yes | 49c | 40.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 29c | 37.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 33c | 35.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 31c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…e33fbacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 48c | 30.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 67c | 27.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed No | 46c | 24.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…03b9backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…5896backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Eibar vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-01-02?No won
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-01-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.