La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-01-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc079079b285137dc10a87e1e90b1f610b23eae40f2e3469790fba57bddd5d750
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 12c | 2,012$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3445backed Yes | 1c | 1,780$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 1,119$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.71 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 17c | 1,004$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed Yes | 28c | 700$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 12c | 699.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 13c | 568.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…75c8backed Yes | 4c | 420$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked Yes | 5c | 396.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 4c | 235$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 224.31$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.94 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 50c | 208$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes | 39c | 133.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 12c | 125.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 37c | 72.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked No | 49c | 28.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 42c | 26.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 39c | 26.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61b3…8721backed Yes | 51c | 20.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-01-02?this page
- Will SD Eibar vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?No won
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-01-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.