TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b6d…58f6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2948.3%14 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick67cpaid-32.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,844.76
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$143.99
Everton FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$160.78
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+35.3%+$26.1
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,015.47
Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$88.36
Will Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$33.75
Will Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.02
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$33.75
Will Brighton vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.5
Will Aston Villa vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.89
Will Brentford vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,013Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+39.5%+$796.01
Will Fulham vs. Ipswich end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$384.99
Will Brighton vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$331.5
Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+37%+$134.99
Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$43.02
Will Manchester United vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+37%+$99.61
Will Everton vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,734Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+41.3%+$715.5
Will Brighton vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$311.99
Will Wolves vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+35.1%+$48.43
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$314.26
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+80.2%+$821.86
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$185.86
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$36.49
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.84
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$440
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+733.3%+$440
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$51
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+183.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+222.6%+$779.7
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+143.9%+$518.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,994.54
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+300%+$2,994.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.8
Cardinals vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+27.4%+$86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.62
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+85.2%+$368
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$22.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,528Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.1%+$659.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25.2%+$167.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team (BO3)backed Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran strike on Israel in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$702.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.