NFL · resolved market
Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 47.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb675758eff9bf9b8635ed2603e1c666993634dce0bf1cc3692e87a22a5c23eae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 49c | 50,000$24,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,300 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 51c | 43,195$21,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,897.35 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Under | 49c | 41,192$20,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,047.02 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Over | 51c | 30,262$15,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,433.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Under | 50c | 29,281$14,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,758.42 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Over | 51c | 22,653$11,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,553.06 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 49c | 18,000$8,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,100 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Over | 50c | 13,500$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Under | 51c | 9,750$4,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,777.5 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…1cd1backed Over | 53c | 3,732$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.01 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 50c | 3,298$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.65 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 49c | 3,110$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Under | 48c | 2,229$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.97 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Over | 49c | 2,224$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.84 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…7cdcbacked Over | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 1,277$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.5 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 50c | 1,130$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.99 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Over | 78c | 1,007$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.65 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 51c | 979.25$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.42 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Under | 75c | 906.64$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.57 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Under | 49c | 750$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Over | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…23c5backed Under | 50c | 507.26$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 48c | 389.21$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.82 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 50c | 373.21$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.56 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Under | 52c | 369.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Over | 52c | 232.63$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.97 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Under | 49c | 214.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 48c | 206.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…2a91backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Over | 16c | 194.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed Over | 52c | 190$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Under | 50c | 189$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 174.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Over | 51c | 115.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Over | 51c | 111$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Under | 68c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…a045backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 52c | 95.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…bd26backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 60c | 73.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Over | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Under | 71c | 56.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 23c | 56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Over | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Over | 66c | 45.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…3703backed Over | 52c | 33.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e75…ab84backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b87…300abacked Over | 51c | 20.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…4c9abacked Under | 50c | 20.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe376…27d7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…a1d0backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2c…6534backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…5203backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 47.5this page
- Cowboys vs. EaglesEagles won
- Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Eagles (-7.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Eagles (-8.5)Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.