NFL · resolved market
Spread: Eagles (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x847bce55af9f2aa926ca5bf6df19a8f79c48407972d2e86ef24aa00cb8ad1a8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cowboysof Eagles, Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cowboys | 52c | 17,772$9,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,486.49 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Eagles | 48c | 16,572$7,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,954.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Cowboys | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Eagles | 47c | 4,780$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.82 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Eagles | 48c | 3,251$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.51 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cowboys | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Eagles | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Cowboys | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eagles | 47c | 985.56$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.21 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed Cowboys | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Eagles | 48c | 480.77$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.77 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Cowboys | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Cowboys | 53c | 345$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.15 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…2a91backed Eagles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Cowboys | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Cowboys | 52c | 93.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Cowboys | 52c | 91.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cowboys | 51c | 59.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9b…1056backed Cowboys | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…68b9backed Eagles | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Eagles | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e75…ab84backed Cowboys | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cowboys | 56c | 22.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eagles (-8.5)this page
- Cowboys vs. EaglesEagles won
- Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 47.5Under won
- Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Eagles (-7.5)Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.