TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cdd…3e97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
852
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: UFC, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 60 out of 100; worst College Football at 31.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT16961.5%104 W · 65 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 169 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.19
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$21.17
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$35.81
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$17.76
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$786Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$266.45
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$16.93
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.42
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.99
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$21.71
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.87
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33%+$14.9
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,710Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$737.24
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,397Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$766.5
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.47
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.98
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28%+$43.8
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,315Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$464.9
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$29.11
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$7.87
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$202.32
Showing 25 of 169 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT9053.3%48 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NFL and NFLRA to reach CBA agreement by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$34.81
Will Jordyn Tyson be drafted 5th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.44
Will Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.48
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,292.74
Will Spencer Fano be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Jeremiyah Love be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+289.6%+$73.9
Will C.J. Allen be drafted 4th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$71.27
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+160.2%+$934.86
Will David Bailey be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.6
Will Gabe Jacas be drafted 10th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$61.74
Will Trey Hendrickson play for Philadelphia Eagles in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+83.5%+$186.14
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25%+$6.6
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+124.7%+$206.89
Will Seattle beat New England in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.37
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21.23
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30.26
Big Game - Winning Conference backed NFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+54.1%+$51.23
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+27.7%+$36.9
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+26.1%+$24.48
Will Josh Allen win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$114.01
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,053Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+26.9%+$1,361.59
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$260.53
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT8161.7%50 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.45
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.6
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+425.5%+$1,619.4
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+368.9%+$317.79
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Will Jude Bellingham win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.75
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,125.08
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.99
Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.43
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.66
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$490
Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.59
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.92
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.39
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$861Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$239
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.49
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$67.32
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$48.95
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT6764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.8
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.15
Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$262.95
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$945.82
Will Mikel Brown Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.43
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$67
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.2
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$19.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$171.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$88.47
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$947Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$947
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.24
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$14.65
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$42.9
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$27.45
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$86
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.76
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,285.45
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33%+$29.8
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,081.17
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT6459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.57
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,674Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$514.11
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,364Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$666.42
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,661Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$526.32
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.52
Will Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,698Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+30.5%+$822.79
Will Hillary say "Under Oath" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,741Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+38.7%+$672.99
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.7%+$18.56
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$152.95
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+27.4%+$39.02
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+42.1%+$211.98
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$65.02
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$39.72
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$210.39
Trump appoints special prosecutor for Epstein case in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$316.07
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.06
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$151.62
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.5%+$89.92
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$283.63
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+31.2%+$192.86
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.7%+$87.82
Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+60.7%+$10.25
Will Trump say "Affordability" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$83.59
Will any Senators vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$813Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+44%+$357.51
Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+59.9%+$59.01
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT5527.3%15 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$115.3
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$16.3
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,271.53
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.5
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.65
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,717Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$1,640.55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$756.46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.75
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,554.86
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.21
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,070.04
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$57.94
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+27.7%+$36.8
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$272.62
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+245.5%+$1,654.24
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.98
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$377.71
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$972.11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.74
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$180.91
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250.85
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.98
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,284.43
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.29
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT3655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chase Reid be drafted with the 3rd pick in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.13
Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted with the 3rd pick in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.31
Will Chase Reid be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.74
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+206.7%+$213.46
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.03
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,763Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$1,399.01
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$41.8
Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$446.31
Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$124.2
Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.55
Will Jon Cooper win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.82
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$122.92
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$72.37
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.57
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Wild backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.33
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$21.02
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.01
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$71.3
NHL Playoffs: Canadiens vs. Lightning Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.9
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3476.5%26 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
UFC — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$41.12
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$79.87
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$6.23
Will Christian Leroy Duncan win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.18
UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$36.52
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$139.5
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$27.1
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.7
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$45.91
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.52
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mason Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$179.17
Will the announcers say "Triangle" or "Guillotine" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$124
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$106.5
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$31.5
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.9%+$43
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$10.8
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.8%+$29.02
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.5%+$33.1
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$59.27
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$592.83
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Final in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.56
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Ostapenko (+1.5)backed Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$475.53
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.09
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.74
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$77.5
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.26
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$57.4
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$49.4
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+116.8%+$402.43
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$571.8
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$39.3
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+41.3%+$11.7
Australian Open Men's: Dane Sweeny vs Gael Monfilsbacked Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+25.1%+$29.02
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$686.48
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+35%+$1,137.93
US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Cori Gauffbacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+122.7%+$110.2
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$231.34
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$48
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.08
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2416.7%4 W · 20 L-8.5wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-76.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
College Football — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$410.2
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+43.9%+$21.67
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$434.75
Will Kenny Dillingham be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$525.75
Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$27.75
Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$381.7
Will Jeremiyah Love win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$86.27
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2025–2026 Biletnikoff Award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$132.37
Will Garrett Nussemeier win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Carson Beck win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$136.81
Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
Will Miami Florida make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$41.79
Will Ohio State win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$38.65
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,273.91
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$53.84
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+36.8%+$84.57
Florida vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Syracuse vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.74
Troy vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+45.2%+$124.33
Spread: Illinois (-3.5)backed Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.5
Spread: North Carolina State (-3.5)backed Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.65
LSU vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$283
Alabama vs. Florida Statebacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$314.6
Auburn vs. Baylorbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.4
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bridget Phillipson be in the Burnham cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$4.89
Will Angela Rayner be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$1,150.72
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.16
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,824Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$1,431.65
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+26%+$165.33
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$25.89
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$314.3
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$33.06
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+75.7%+$263.32
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+39%+$179.81
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$2,357.02
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+59.5%+$152.01
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,429Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+30.6%+$1,048.14
Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.52
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+28.1%+$68.62
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.4
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$11.86
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$314.57
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$369.9
Yoon reinstated as President before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$30
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$188.47
Will Duke Buckner place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$172.62
Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$24.6
Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$50.81
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$132.79
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$50.78
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$42.94
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$153.21
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$236.56
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.76
Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$23.11
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$327.87
Will no Senate vote on an Epstein disclosure bill occur by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$135.42
Senate vote on Epstein bill by November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$164.82
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$105.88
Will no one drop out first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.94
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.66
Will AJ Dybantsa be the NCAA Division 1 leading scorer at the end of the season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$140.34
Will Fred Hoiberg win the Men's 2026 Naismith Coach of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$606.71
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.87
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$151.25
Will Iowa State advance to the Quarterfinals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.05
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$43.74
NCAA Tournament: 1 seed knocked out before round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$157.19
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.54
Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Drake Bulldogs vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (W)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+25.2%+$9.05
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+558.3%+$580.5
Will Connecticut win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+185.1%+$410.35
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
March Madness: Team from the ACC to win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.41
Will Cooper Flagg win the Wooden Award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$14.28
Will Johni Broome win the Wooden Award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.63
UC San Diego vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$37.84
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.36
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$446.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$68.95
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,744Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$1,588.14
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,344.69
Exact Score: Everton FC 1 - 0 Manchester City FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$6.1
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Robert De Zerbi be appointed as manager of Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+262.4%+$1,003.09
Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$84
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$34.39
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$117.37
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.05
Will Ruben Amorim be the first EPL manager fired?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.84
Will Man City qualify for the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.7
All 17 picks, newest first.
F1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$26.37
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$132.34
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.27
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.7
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.75
Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.57
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hadjar?backed Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$11.18
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$37.91
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$88.53
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$100.38
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$554.82
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.6%+$756.97
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+65.5%+$166.25
All 17 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$144.03
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.6%+$5.34
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+36.5%+$10.66
Will Trump say "Stolen" or "Steal" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+85.2%+$8.62
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$94.24
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,956.06
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,233Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+90.3%+$1,113.16
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,078Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+162.9%+$8,273.58
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+106%+$668.06
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+59.6%+$413.76
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,921.51
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18.01
Trump executive action ending payments to Colombia by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.64
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casey Mize be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$63.96
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$312.14
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+44.1%+$267.84
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2025 NL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+42.9%+$18.9
Will Paul Skenes win the 2025 NL Cy Young?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+160.4%+$256.48
Will Tarik Skubal win the 2025 AL Cy Young?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+60.9%+$28.5
Will Drake Baldwin win the National League Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+136.8%+$196.91
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the National League Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+25%+$77
Will Jacob Wilson win the American League Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$51.5
World Series Winnerbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+25.2%+$44.79
Will Brice Turang lead the MLB in steals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+33.1%+$9.29
Will Elly De La Cruz lead the MLB in steals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.68
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-67.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.71
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.09
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,108.32
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$928.46
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.48
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.2%+$64.51
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,771Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,771.08
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$618.45
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.43
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Trump announces Lisa Cook replacement by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.97
All 12 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick68cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$62.82
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$73
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will Napheesa Collier win the 2025 WNBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2025 WNBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,983Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+29.3%+$580.98
Will Caitlin Clark win the 2025 WNBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$801Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+45.9%+$367.77
Will Natalie Nakase win WNBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+47%+$35.35
Will Caitlin Clark lead the WNBA in points per game this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15
Lynx vs. Valkyriesbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+100%+$52.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$16.02
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$80.55
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$256.89
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.77
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$58.74
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+234.9%+$522.4
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.35
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$35.43
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.47
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25.55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.26
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$15.34
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.68
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.76
Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$24.2
Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.65
Will Serhou Guirassy score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.41
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+71.1%+$353.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-54%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+215.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$26.26
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$32.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$297.15
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,569Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$2,780.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+91.2%+$81.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$126
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$21.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.