Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcf8a207c600b23a33d2c85074e75280875729472f3ebb10e546f9f1a724a472
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabalenkaof Sabalenka, Vondrousova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $351,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $378,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Sabalenka | 76c | 117,042$88,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,551.48 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Vondrousova | 28c | 87,834$24,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,227.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +119%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Sabalenka | 73c | 70,000$50,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,099.98 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Vondrousova | 24c | 55,000$13,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,124.72 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Sabalenka | 73c | 37,498$27,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,007.07 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Vondrousova | 26c | 34,000$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,899.99 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Vondrousova | 25c | 23,100$5,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,736.98 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Sabalenka | 74c | 16,000$11,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Vondrousova | 25c | 14,000$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,559.97 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Vondrousova | 27c | 12,271$3,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.17 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Vondrousova | 26c | 11,111$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Sabalenka | 73c | 10,476$7,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -4.5wins | -0.41per pick | 68cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Vondrousova | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Sabalenka | 72c | 9,000$6,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.99 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Vondrousova | 24c | 7,314$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.85 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Vondrousova | 27c | 6,133$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.87 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vondrousova | 21c | 6,051$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.68 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Vondrousova | 17c | 5,400$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Vondrousova | 21c | 4,707$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.4 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Sabalenka | 74c | 4,388$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.93 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vondrousova | 6c | 4,300$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Sabalenka | 78c | 3,306$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.87 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Sabalenka | 77c | 3,204$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.65 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Sabalenka | 78c | 3,179$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.37 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Vondrousova | 28c | 3,000$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.41 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Vondrousova | 27c | 2,778$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.06 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Sabalenka | 75c | 2,309$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.2 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Vondrousova | 2c | 2,300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Vondrousova | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Vondrousova | 27c | 1,700$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Vondrousova | 27c | 1,539$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.76 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Vondrousova | 27c | 1,362$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.61 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c4…4b97backed Sabalenka | 74c | 1,259$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Vondrousova | 28c | 1,236$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Vondrousova | 27c | 1,183$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.81 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Sabalenka | 74c | 1,070$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.14 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Sabalenka | 74c | 1,013$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.51 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…63dabacked Sabalenka | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Vondrousova | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Vondrousova | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Vondrousova | 27c | 812.5$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.38 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed Sabalenka | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Vondrousova | 25c | 599.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…4ea3backed Sabalenka | 76c | 567.87$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Sabalenka | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Vondrousova | 26c | 499.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Sabalenka | 74c | 457.38$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.92 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Sabalenka | 74c | 450.91$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Vondrousova | 27c | 450$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Vondrousova | 22c | 446.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Vondrousova | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d99…fe22backed Sabalenka | 75c | 387.03$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Vondrousova | 27c | 322.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Vondrousova | 27c | 309.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa317…a3f3backed Sabalenka | 74c | 299.2$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Vondrousova | 27c | 278$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Vondrousova | 22c | 270.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Vondrousova | 22c | 270.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Vondrousova | 22c | 270.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Vondrousova | 22c | 270.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…e171backed Vondrousova | 26c | 226.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Vondrousova | 27c | 207$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Vondrousova | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Vondrousova | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Sabalenka | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Sabalenka | 74c | 191.89$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5ec6backed Sabalenka | 74c | 151.46$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Sabalenka | 74c | 148.65$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…e7bebacked Sabalenka | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Sabalenka | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Sabalenka | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sabalenka | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…7346backed Sabalenka | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Sabalenka | 73c | 131$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Vondrousova | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Vondrousova | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Vondrousova | 21c | 100.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621f…7293backed Sabalenka | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Vondrousova | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Sabalenka | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a42…471abacked Sabalenka | 74c | 93.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Vondrousova | 27c | 85.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Sabalenka | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Vondrousova | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Vondrousova | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…141cbacked Vondrousova | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Sabalenka | 73c | 68.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…971ebacked Sabalenka | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…5590backed Sabalenka | 74c | 61.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Vondrousova | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Sabalenka | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Sabalenka | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Sabalenka | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Sabalenka | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcefc…a993backed Sabalenka | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…72dabacked Sabalenka | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8292…0d5bbacked Sabalenka | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Sabalenka | 74c | 24.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…eb55backed Sabalenka | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…6846backed Sabalenka | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.