TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3d17…b1fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Valorant, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT4959.2%29 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.21
Counter-Strike: Team buster vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)backed Team CS2NEWS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+25%+$2.75
Will The MongolZ win FISSURE Playground 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
CS: FURIA vs Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
CS: paiN vs Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.57
FISSURE Playground 2: The MongolZ vs. 3DMAXbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Thunderpick WC: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. Venombacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Vitality win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
BLAST Open: Vitality vs. MOUZbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
BLAST Open: MOUZ vs. M80backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
BLAST Open: Spirit vs. G2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
BLAST Open: Vitality vs. FaZebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14.93
BLAST Open: Flyquest vs. G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$8.8
BLAST Open: M80 vs. Natus Vincerebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.01
BLAST Open: Spirit vs. FURIAbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
BLAST Open: MOUZ vs. G2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
BLAST Open: FaZe vs. Natus Vincerebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.5
BLAST Open: Natus Vincere vs. fnaticbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+25%+$12.5
BLAST Open: FaZe vs. ECSTATICbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.45
Will The MongolZ win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
EWC Cs2: Falcons vs. Aurorabacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
EWC Cs2: HEROIC vs. Aurorabacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
EWC Cs2: MOUZ vs. Virtus.probacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$47.74
EWC Cs2: G2 vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.7
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$7.21
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25.6%+$2.68
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.13
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Heroicbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. BetBoom Teambacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. PARIVISIONbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Nigma Galaxybacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. HEROICbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$17.56
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Tundra Esportsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. Team Spiritbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Dota 2: HEROIC vs. YkBrosbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+25%+$7.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. Team Liquidbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Team Tideboundbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: NAVI vs. BBbacked BB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+49.1%+$16
Dota 2: Aurora vs. YkBrosbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Nigma Galaxybacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs. Xtreme Gamingbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Team Spirit win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$23.98
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chengdu Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Hangzhou Open: Yibing Wu vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Alcaraz? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$129.5
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+37%+$18.49
US Open: Tomas Machac vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
US Open: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.8
US Open: Karen Khachanov vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+26.3%+$10.11
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
ATP Cincinnati - Rublev vs. Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+25%+$12.5
WTA Montreal – Mboko vs. Osakabacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Khachanovbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Popyrinbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
ATP Toronto – Cobolli vs. Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$24
ATP Toronto – Tiafoe vs. De Minaurbacked De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
ATP Toronto – Popyrin vs. Runebacked Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.6
ATP Toronto – Diallo vs. Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Arnaldibacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
ATP Washington D.C – Fritz vs. Davidovich Fokinabacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.25
ATP Washington D.C – Medvedev vs. Moutetbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
ATP Kitzbuhel – Bublik vs. van de Zandschulpbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$235.6
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
League of Legends: Karmine Corp vs. Team Vitalitybacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+25%+$6.25
League of Legends: Team WE vs. Edward Gamingbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.8
League of Legends: Team Liquid vs. 100 Thievesbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.81
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Ninjas in Pyjamasbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.76
League of Legends: T1 vs. Gen.Gbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$23.25
League of Legends: Team Vitality vs. Movistar KOIbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
League of Legends: Disguised vs. Dignitasbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$25.25
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Top Esportsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$33.58
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Invictus Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.88
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked Hanwha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick77cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-54.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-54.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17.11
Canucks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New Zealand win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Will Italy win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$17.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$12.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Solana reach $210 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.63
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$257.57
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$16.66
Will Inter win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$47.25
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+181.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Libertybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+181.6%+$224.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+38.9%+$6.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Bukauskas vs. Craig backed Bukauskas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$17.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 100°F or higher on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.