TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

BLAST Open: MOUZ vs. M80

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, M80
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,626
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,626 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4047…7293backed MOUZ69c15,349$10,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.145848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked M8026c9,420$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.2121424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed M8010c6,853$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.4413532.6%44 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed M8032c6,646$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.722740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea0f…23b1backed M8020c5,403$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.67333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+65.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed M8029c5,244$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.9810538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b32…eba2backed MOUZ78c4,924$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed M8020c4,250$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.048636%31 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked MOUZ80c4,080$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.972171.4%15 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked M8023c4,003$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.728237.8%31 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebed…97bebacked M8022c2,759$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.982832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked M8026c2,672$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.5113050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed M8015c2,300$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.1846340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked MOUZ77c2,220$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.6613043.1%56 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed M8024c2,016$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.335,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed MOUZ79c1,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31519660.7%119 W · 77 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked MOUZ77c1,449$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.218956.2%50 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed M8020c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4a…048ebacked M8023c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-62.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c2…55c3backed M8023c1,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2257642.1%32 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d4…8d3cbacked MOUZ78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2208155.6%45 W · 36 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-16.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked M8022c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ78c987.9$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.7758961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ76c894.59$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed M8029c885.55$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.121,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf822…093ebacked M8024c820.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed MOUZ78c628.99$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.381250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed M8022c613.64$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13526344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked MOUZ77c606.28$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9513947.5%66 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed M8029c551.84$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0310933%36 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x843b…2673backed M8017c522.22$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x732b…3b02backed MOUZ79c517.45$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.44955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed M8023c516.87$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.716842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked MOUZ78c513$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8615452.6%81 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked M8023c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11514239.4%56 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6324…95b9backed M8021c475.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd74f…ff78backed MOUZ78c450$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked M8019c420$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.83458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ba7…2cdbbacked MOUZ76c399.99$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked M8022c398.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.861,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd8…4bf1backed MOUZ75c397.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed M809c394.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.54035%14 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ba…aa45backed MOUZ77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.61742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick75cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed MOUZ76c370$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.814332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed M8011c358.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7818624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8389…db1bbacked M8029c339.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007636.8%28 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed M8024c333.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9911625.9%30 W · 86 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed MOUZ77c307.92$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8242638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed MOUZ70c299.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9024554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c7…0b56backed M8026c296.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778330.1%25 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked MOUZ76c263.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.282944.8%13 W · 16 L-6.2wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-34.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed MOUZ77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7421251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2063…1eedbacked M8026c246.12$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657659.2%45 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed M8018c211.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.11425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac3e…9decbacked MOUZ80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed M8032c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030039.7%119 W · 181 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed MOUZ70c154.74$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.427243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed M8024c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3625941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed M8014c142$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.761,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked M8021c139.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1347055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed MOUZ77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8733456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed MOUZ77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8736751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked MOUZ80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256451.6%33 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf66a…9157backed M8032c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010238.2%39 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed M8020c122.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524250.8%123 W · 119 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b22…1d59backed MOUZ80c120.11$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.02366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a3…79f9backed MOUZ76c104.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.212843%55 W · 73 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf117…31b6backed MOUZ76c101.39$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.332718.5%5 W · 22 L-6.1wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-63.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed MOUZ71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x175b…93aebacked M8024c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2414142.6%60 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2729…e171backed MOUZ76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed M8024c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2423454.7%128 W · 106 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0490…35e4backed MOUZ72c90$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed MOUZ79c86.2$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.173658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked MOUZ75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2082146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed MOUZ77c74.14$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.054369.8%30 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked M8023c68.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.814233.8%48 W · 94 L-18.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed MOUZ76c66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.942057.1%240 W · 180 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d17…b1fdbacked MOUZ76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.794959.2%29 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c30…6298backed M8032c65.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed MOUZ77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9411269.6%78 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked M8025c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531758%184 W · 133 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b17…1713backed M8024c59.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.191330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-51.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dca…7b88backed MOUZ80c50.17$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed M8024c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1228346.6%132 W · 151 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b8…5d35backed M8020c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036437.4%136 W · 228 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed MOUZ76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2702…0495backed MOUZ77c45.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.436454.7%35 W · 29 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked M8025c42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.461,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe608…0c2cbacked M8031c31.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1156…f8adbacked MOUZ75c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.55100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01a0…4038backed MOUZ70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked MOUZ77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.635454.2%192 W · 162 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed MOUZ69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.29954.5%54 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4f…8402backed MOUZ77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481533.3%5 W · 10 L-5.1wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-51.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe7bf…a963backed MOUZ77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccde…8f58backed MOUZ70c18.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.