TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2063…1eed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
204
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 59 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST7659.2%45 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,449Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,449.14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$37.03
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37.78
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FaZe (BO1)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Astralis (BO1)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+46.1%+$5.54
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$11.59
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs FaZe (BO3)backed RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Lynn Vision (BO1)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs M80 (BO1)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+129.3%+$63.36
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Will The MongolZ win FISSURE Playground 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+98.6%+$216.86
Will Aurora Gaming win FISSURE Playground 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
CS: Aurora vs Liquidbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST3754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$12.88
Makhachev Parlay - Islam Wins Submission & Fight Lasts Over 2.5 Roundsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25.43
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$395.12
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$166.67
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$333
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$69.63
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$16.48
Mix vs. Wiklaczbacked Wiklacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$71.15
Santos vs. Yoobacked Yoo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Gomis vs. Ruchałabacked Ruchała · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Tavares vs. Bryczekbacked Bryczek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+201.5%+$30.23
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Fakhretdinovbacked Gustafsson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump attend UFC 319?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,819Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+47.4%+$1,335.34
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$12.92
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page backed Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
UFC 319: Elliott vs. Asakurabacked Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 319: Meerschaert vs. Oleksiejczukbacked Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+47.5%+$94.92
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandezbacked Dolidze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Fernandes vs. Stoliarenkobacked Stoliarenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan backed Rębecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+78.7%+$137.78
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+47.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+354.5%+$177.27
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+46.1%+$137.04
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+38.7%+$201.96
Will Bitcoin dip to $122,000 October 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Ethereum reach $4,700 September 29-October 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$5.07
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$106.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+66.4%+$56.42
Will XRP dip to $2.60 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+39.9%+$43.94
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$256.67
Will XRP reach $3.60 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+27.3%+$128.88
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+41%+$98.35
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.7
Will Solana reach $190 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$36.92
Will XRP reach $3.2 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,727
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,900
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 25 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+59%+$59.02
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,455Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+61.9%+$2,138.01
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15,654Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+92.8%+$14,527.81
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,930Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+36.2%+$698.76
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.3%+$6.06
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+208.4%+$22.92
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?backed Putin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+38%+$152.01
Will Trump say "Crime" 10+ times during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$3.1
Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$24.48
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$16.92
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$17.97
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+213.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. HEROICbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+30.8%+$30.84
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Tundra Esportsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have 1.5 Million Likes on Friday at Noon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.