UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10715f1c04921f3d790e21fe39e7b2465e60e270292b303c6099802506ae7ba7

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Duncanof Rębecki, Duncan
Resolved: Aug 3, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $118,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $126,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,186 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe38e…c29dbacked Rębecki	62c	26,718$16,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,538.72	148	57.4%85 W · 63 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Duncan	70c	19,383$13,561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,821.54	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Duncan	31c	15,509$4,753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,755.96	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed Rębecki	1c	12,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	34	2.9%1 W · 33 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Rębecki	28c	11,647$3,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,213.52	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Duncan	31c	3,812$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,611.89	222	59.5%132 W · 90 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Duncan	75c	3,676$2,745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$931.44	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Rębecki	63c	3,571$2,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,260.08	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Duncan	33c	3,224$1,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,152.25	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Duncan	32c	2,700$864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,836	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rębecki	67c	2,679$1,807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,806.7	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Rębecki	70c	2,431$1,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,701.79	300	49%147 W · 153 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f76…3e05backed Rębecki	70c	2,244$1,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,575.24	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Rębecki	65c	2,189$1,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,419.11	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Duncan	35c	2,000$695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,305	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Duncan	30c	2,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Rębecki	27c	1,865$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.57	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-4.9wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Rębecki	26c	1,700$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.3	209	54.1%113 W · 96 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Rębecki	67c	1,700$1,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,146.18	541	56.7%307 W · 234 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Rębecki	69c	1,549$1,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,070.01	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-5.8wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Duncan	33c	1,538$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,030.41	130	39.2%51 W · 79 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Rębecki	68c	1,500$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	82	56.1%46 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Rębecki	70c	1,447$1,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012.64	318	55%175 W · 143 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rębecki	45c	1,263$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.22	149	29.5%44 W · 105 L	-15.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Rębecki	58c	1,263$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$732.94	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9c…900fbacked Rębecki	17c	1,200$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	78	30.8%24 W · 54 L	-9.1wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Duncan	35c	1,154$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.72	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Duncan	31c	1,032$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$712.26	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Rębecki	70c	1,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Duncan	32c	1,000$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Rębecki	19c	985.52$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.64	235	37%87 W · 148 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Rębecki	66c	799.12$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.42	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.22per pick	58cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Duncan	75c	776.66$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.4	136	50%68 W · 68 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Rębecki	38c	762$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.45	170	45.9%78 W · 92 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06d0…254fbacked Rębecki	67c	746.27$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Duncan	33c	699.99$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.99	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc567…04bfbacked Duncan	32c	625$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rębecki	33c	618$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.99	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Duncan	33c	599.98$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.99	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Rębecki	70c	560.6$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Rębecki	15c	558.1$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.97	88	26.1%23 W · 65 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Rębecki	64c	520.92$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.39	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Duncan	32c	509.31$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.31	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.14per pick	32cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed Rębecki	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	61	9.8%6 W · 55 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Rębecki	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	50	12%6 W · 44 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+272.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2876…c4b2backed Duncan	31c	484.06$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Rębecki	69c	471.25$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.16	82	20.7%17 W · 65 L	-12.6wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-48%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Rębecki	66c	442.12$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Duncan	34c	439.99$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.39	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Rębecki	59c	416.63$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.64	202	49%99 W · 103 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa4f…9437backed Rębecki	67c	402.99$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rębecki	66c	399.99$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.99	68	29.4%20 W · 48 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Rębecki	66c	379.93$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.16	490	49%240 W · 250 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Duncan	78c	360$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.8	248	62.5%155 W · 93 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Duncan	32c	312.5$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.5	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Rębecki	67c	304$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.68	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccbf…dce5backed Rębecki	66c	303.03$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Duncan	33c	299.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Duncan	34c	294.12$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.12	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Duncan	34c	291.06$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.1	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Rębecki	69c	289.86$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffc…6988backed Duncan	32c	289.32$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.74	85	35.3%30 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf826…cd1abacked Rębecki	70c	286.89$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	-7.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Duncan	35c	285.16$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.16	111	38.7%43 W · 68 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Rębecki	68c	250$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	330	45.5%150 W · 180 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rębecki	65c	250$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.5	141	44.7%63 W · 78 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Duncan	34c	250$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Rębecki	71c	200$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Rębecki	67c	200$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Duncan	31c	200$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	115	40.9%47 W · 68 L	-10.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Rębecki	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Duncan	32c	200$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+6.5wins	+0.23per pick	40cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Duncan	69c	200$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	265	52.1%138 W · 127 L	+23.9wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Duncan	36c	200$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128	80	36.3%29 W · 51 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rębecki	44c	172.9$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.98	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Duncan	35c	170$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.5	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.17per pick	38cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Duncan	36c	166.67$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.67	324	31.8%103 W · 221 L	-9.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c72…fd49backed Duncan	31c	161.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.29	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Duncan	35c	157.12$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.12	109	56%61 W · 48 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Rębecki	47c	154.99$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.29	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Duncan	67c	150$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x059c…1cbabacked Rębecki	67c	149.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e2b…97b2backed Rębecki	67c	149.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Duncan	34c	147.06$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.06	158	48.1%76 W · 82 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x384f…0874backed Rębecki	68c	147.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Duncan	34c	146.56$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.73	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b28…95fcbacked Rębecki	70c	142.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	68cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Duncan	43c	130.55$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.01	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Duncan	31c	129.03$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.03	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc90…a076backed Duncan	75c	125$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.25	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a07…05c1backed Duncan	27c	119.44$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.94	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e9…ee46backed Duncan	42c	119.05$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.05	106	50.9%54 W · 52 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Rębecki	65c	116.99$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.05	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Duncan	32c	100$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.25	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7941…c675backed Rębecki	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed Duncan	33c	99.98$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.98	75	41.3%31 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Duncan	35c	94.29$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	283	33.2%94 W · 189 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Duncan	34c	91.18$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.18	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2063…1eedbacked Rębecki	67c	90$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb408…f21bbacked Rębecki	69c	86.96$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	-5.4wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan this page
UFC Fight Night: Bashi vs. Yannis Bashi won
UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. RibovicsRibovics won
UFC Fight Night: Estevam vs. Bunes Estevam won
UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. PulyaevPulyaev won
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos SantosMagny won
UFC Fight Night: Nakamura vs. FletcherNakamura won
UFC Fight Night: Park vs. TairaTaira won
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. SouzaRodriguez won
UFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. CornolleRosa won
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. VallejosVallejos won
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Gore Vieira won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event