UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos Santos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf192f48f2266879751d867de8976936d61c5e7366c696d8abcfcb5e6f804f9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magnyof Magny, dos Santos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $588,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $631,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…b3dfbacked dos Santos | 61c | 428,411$259,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259,852.91 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Magny | 40c | 140,137$55,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,331.12 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Magny | 39c | 65,115$25,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,720.15 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Magny | 39c | 50,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,500 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magny | 38c | 37,500$14,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,095 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Magny | 39c | 37,050$14,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,600.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Magny | 39c | 25,951$10,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,797.87 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed dos Santos | 58c | 21,277$12,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,340.59 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Magny | 41c | 19,320$7,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,398.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magny | 39c | 14,359$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,758.99 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magny | 33c | 13,045$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,714.45 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Magny | 39c | 10,327$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250.39 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked dos Santos | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Magny | 41c | 9,012$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,317.56 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magny | 39c | 6,317$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.21 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Magny | 30c | 6,177$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,294.61 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Magny | 33c | 6,069$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,096.06 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Magny | 41c | 5,120$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.51 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Magny | 30c | 5,035$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.79 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked dos Santos | 70c | 5,005$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.68 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Magny | 40c | 4,272$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Magny | 39c | 4,080$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.97 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magny | 39c | 3,767$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.76 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed Magny | 41c | 3,029$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Magny | 39c | 3,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked dos Santos | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Magny | 36c | 2,727$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.3 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Magny | 14c | 2,431$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.51 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed dos Santos | 10c | 2,349$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Magny | 14c | 2,330$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.21 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Magny | 41c | 2,288$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.99 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Magny | 38c | 2,190$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.51 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Magny | 41c | 1,592$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.09 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Magny | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Magny | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Magny | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked dos Santos | 62c | 1,000$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.37 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked dos Santos | 62c | 1,000$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Magny | 41c | 975.49$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.54 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked dos Santos | 63c | 925.4$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Magny | 42c | 914.29$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.29 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed dos Santos | 60c | 900$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Magny | 41c | 897.56$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed dos Santos | 58c | 804.3$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.49 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Magny | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Magny | 41c | 800$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked dos Santos | 63c | 794.75$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.9 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…45c5backed dos Santos | 61c | 785$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…4df0backed dos Santos | 61c | 675$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…3301backed Magny | 39c | 525$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Magny | 39c | 518.08$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.08 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc555…d999backed Magny | 39c | 510$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Magny | 40c | 502.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9d…0791backed Magny | 39c | 490$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Magny | 38c | 452.63$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.63 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Magny | 39c | 451.5$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.41 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked dos Santos | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked dos Santos | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Magny | 41c | 399.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed dos Santos | 61c | 399.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.88 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf826…cd1abacked Magny | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Magny | 40c | 333$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed dos Santos | 60c | 333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…0f48backed dos Santos | 61c | 325$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed dos Santos | 60c | 316$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed dos Santos | 65c | 315.08$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.52 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…4e2abacked Magny | 42c | 308.86$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Magny | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Magny | 43c | 285.93$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.98 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed dos Santos | 61c | 276.34$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.57 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed dos Santos | 60c | 272$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.3 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…5e3cbacked Magny | 39c | 255$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Magny | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed dos Santos | 59c | 250$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed dos Santos | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Magny | 41c | 245.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.85 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Magny | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Magny | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magny | 38c | 225$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Magny | 37c | 215$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac2…26f6backed dos Santos | 61c | 215$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Magny | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Magny | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Magny | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed dos Santos | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed dos Santos | 79c | 182.86$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.46 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked dos Santos | 59c | 180.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…98b9backed dos Santos | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Magny | 35c | 167.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…0874backed dos Santos | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a4e1backed Magny | 39c | 165$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed dos Santos | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd24…b40fbacked dos Santos | 62c | 152.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Magny | 42c | 142.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed dos Santos | 62c | 141$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…9481backed Magny | 40c | 131.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed dos Santos | 61c | 130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…18dabacked dos Santos | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…fd49backed Magny | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…a87cbacked dos Santos | 67c | 123.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos Santosthis page
- UFC Fight Night: Bashi vs. Yannis Bashi won
- UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. RibovicsRibovics won
- UFC Fight Night: Estevam vs. Bunes Estevam won
- UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. PulyaevPulyaev won
- UFC Fight Night: Nakamura vs. FletcherNakamura won
- UFC Fight Night: Park vs. TairaTaira won
- UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. SouzaRodriguez won
- UFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. CornolleRosa won
- UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan Duncan won
- UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. VallejosVallejos won
- UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Gore Vieira won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.