TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Gore

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vieiraof Vieira, Gore
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$254,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$261,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x011f…b3dfbacked Vieira71c194,042$137,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,915.062250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Gore 28c100,000$28,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,00019544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Gore 31c25,872$8,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,020.461070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Gore 31c25,085$7,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,776.351435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Gore 28c14,142$3,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,966.183327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Gore 31c14,000$4,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,27037152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Vieira72c13,439$9,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,763.8414857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Vieira76c11,822$8,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.8129151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Gore 24c10,799$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.1710443.3%45 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Gore 25c9,205$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,290.833933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Gore 31c6,812$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.7212541.6%52 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Vieira77c6,251$4,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.0120954.1%113 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Gore 30c6,124$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.542042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Gore 30c3,389$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df4…342cbacked Gore 30c2,454$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Gore 31c2,149$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.136031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-2.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Gore 35c2,050$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.4835826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f76…3e05backed Vieira75c1,790$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.53655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Vieira70c1,759$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.29977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Gore 30c1,605$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.392842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Gore 33c1,593$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.28544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vieira71c1,399$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.85356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Gore 29c1,355$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.424548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Gore 31c1,305$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.558826.1%23 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Vieira78c1,250$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.353956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Vieira64c1,031$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.316552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Gore 31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3105435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06d0…254fbacked Gore 34c999.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.994161%25 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Gore 31c971.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020233.7%68 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Vieira69c948.53$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.5335564.5%229 W · 126 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Vieira69c872.46$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.461872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Gore 30c833$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.933253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e7…c7c7backed Vieira65c766.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.741735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-47.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Vieira65c755.76$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1218453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Gore 31c699.23$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.766533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Gore 31c671.64$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.213342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Gore 28c635.71$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Vieira64c599.99$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21617850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Gore 28c568.85$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2913953.2%74 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Gore 29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1457147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Gore 35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510041%41 W · 59 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Gore 30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020249%99 W · 103 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Gore 32c499.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16036745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Vieira70c499.98$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.993171%22 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+47%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Gore 29c417$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.578220.7%17 W · 65 L-12.6wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x468f…c2a7backed Gore 25c403.03$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10114045.7%64 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Vieira71c400$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11739959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Vieira66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1366829.4%20 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Gore 28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Vieira66c350$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11925251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c3c…5c56backed Gore 31c350$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.52142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df4…9e8fbacked Gore 30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002552%13 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Gore 31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa4f…9437backed Vieira66c318.18$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccbf…dce5backed Vieira66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Gore 34c299.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9928743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1cd…a252backed Vieira69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.863342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf826…cd1abacked Vieira70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.717737.7%29 W · 48 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2388…377ebacked Vieira70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Gore 35c281.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011138.7%43 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Gore 36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002516%4 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-56.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed Gore 36c269.3$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.673961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Vieira64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9014144.7%63 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Vieira70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.293655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Vieira68c205.88$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8831855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Vieira69c205$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.851533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Gore 31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f3…bb5cbacked Gore 20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.43636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Gore 33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc352…51e3backed Gore 31c188.52$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Vieira64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.62352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab43…f7b3backed Vieira65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8516058.8%94 W · 66 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2201…9071backed Vieira79c113.72$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.391384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.23per pick62cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb33…aaadbacked Gore 31c113.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.222536%9 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed Gore 34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347541.3%31 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Gore 35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511545.2%52 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd348…22c4backed Gore 29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Gore 27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2748749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d6…796dbacked Gore 29c99.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Gore 29c90$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.12737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c72…5c26backed Vieira67c84.15$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7710452.9%55 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Gore 36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032431.8%103 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Gore 33c74.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6316049.4%79 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…900fbacked Vieira67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.637830.8%24 W · 54 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Vieira68c73.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9415848.1%76 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5916…a87cbacked Vieira78c71.53$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.741241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Gore 30c67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.113450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Vieira77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.052382.6%19 W · 4 L+5.6wins+0.24per pick58cpaid+65.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4c23…0b6abacked Vieira72c62.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Gore 32c62.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.952352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61ec…2e8ebacked Gore 34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20bc…f61bbacked Gore 34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacd3…9e40backed Gore 30c50.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d89…40a4backed Vieira67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.53050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Vieira68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9083…d27bbacked Gore 30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515139.7%60 W · 91 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b48…09e4backed Gore 34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152528%7 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c59…b8e9backed Gore 37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2230…a66cbacked Gore 28c35.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Vieira68c23.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.435253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.