UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Gore
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf96da9cded1c93e12d856b031f4ed31488a4c5ccefb9cf327c5869c6285fe95a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vieiraof Vieira, Gore
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…b3dfbacked Vieira | 71c | 194,042$137,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,915.06 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Gore | 28c | 100,000$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,000 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Gore | 31c | 25,872$8,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,020.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Gore | 31c | 25,085$7,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,776.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Gore | 28c | 14,142$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.18 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Gore | 31c | 14,000$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Vieira | 72c | 13,439$9,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,763.84 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Vieira | 76c | 11,822$8,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.81 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Gore | 24c | 10,799$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.17 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Gore | 25c | 9,205$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.83 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Gore | 31c | 6,812$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.72 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Vieira | 77c | 6,251$4,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.01 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Gore | 30c | 6,124$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.5 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Gore | 30c | 3,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Gore | 30c | 2,454$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Gore | 31c | 2,149$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.13 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Gore | 35c | 2,050$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.48 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Vieira | 75c | 1,790$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Vieira | 70c | 1,759$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.29 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Gore | 30c | 1,605$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.39 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Gore | 33c | 1,593$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.2 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vieira | 71c | 1,399$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.8 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Gore | 29c | 1,355$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.42 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Gore | 31c | 1,305$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.55 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Vieira | 78c | 1,250$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Vieira | 64c | 1,031$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.31 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Gore | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Gore | 34c | 999.97$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Gore | 31c | 971.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Vieira | 69c | 948.53$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.53 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Vieira | 69c | 872.46$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.46 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Gore | 30c | 833$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…c7c7backed Vieira | 65c | 766.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.74 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Vieira | 65c | 755.76$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Gore | 31c | 699.23$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.76 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Gore | 31c | 671.64$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.21 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Gore | 28c | 635.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Vieira | 64c | 599.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Gore | 28c | 568.85$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.29 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Gore | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Gore | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Gore | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Gore | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Vieira | 70c | 499.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Gore | 29c | 417$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.57 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Gore | 25c | 403.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Vieira | 71c | 400$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Vieira | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Gore | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Vieira | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Gore | 31c | 350$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…9e8fbacked Gore | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Gore | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…9437backed Vieira | 66c | 318.18$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…dce5backed Vieira | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Gore | 34c | 299.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cd…a252backed Vieira | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf826…cd1abacked Vieira | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…377ebacked Vieira | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Gore | 35c | 281.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Gore | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Gore | 36c | 269.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Vieira | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Vieira | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Vieira | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Vieira | 69c | 205$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Gore | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f3…bb5cbacked Gore | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Gore | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Gore | 31c | 188.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Vieira | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Vieira | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2201…9071backed Vieira | 79c | 113.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Gore | 31c | 113.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Gore | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Gore | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…22c4backed Gore | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Gore | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d6…796dbacked Gore | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Gore | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Vieira | 67c | 84.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Gore | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Gore | 33c | 74.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…900fbacked Vieira | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Vieira | 68c | 73.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…a87cbacked Vieira | 78c | 71.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Gore | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Vieira | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…0b6abacked Vieira | 72c | 62.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Gore | 32c | 62.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…2e8ebacked Gore | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20bc…f61bbacked Gore | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd3…9e40backed Gore | 30c | 50.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Vieira | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Vieira | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked Gore | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 39.7%60 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…09e4backed Gore | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…b8e9backed Gore | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Gore | 28c | 35.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Vieira | 68c | 23.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Gore this page
- UFC Fight Night: Bashi vs. Yannis Bashi won
- UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. RibovicsRibovics won
- UFC Fight Night: Estevam vs. Bunes Estevam won
- UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. PulyaevPulyaev won
- UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos SantosMagny won
- UFC Fight Night: Nakamura vs. FletcherNakamura won
- UFC Fight Night: Park vs. TairaTaira won
- UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. SouzaRodriguez won
- UFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. CornolleRosa won
- UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan Duncan won
- UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. VallejosVallejos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.