TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36bc…ec72

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
244
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT15848.1%76 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 158 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$124.15
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tyrell Fortune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Valter Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$52.86
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$42.46
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Muhammad Said · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$52.86
UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Saygid Izagakhmaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.09
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$49.85
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Tracy Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.2
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Nazim Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$207
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michal Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Eric Nolan vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Farman Hasanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$93.33
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Nursulton Ruziboev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$73.98
UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Javier Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jean Matsumoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$171.29
UFC Fight Night: Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jefferson Nascimento · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Showing 25 of 158 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Twins vs. Royalsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$28
Diamondbacks vs. Tigersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Nationals vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Braves vs. Rangersbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Dodgers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+129.2%+$77.53
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Phillies vs. Yankeesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Guardians vs. Royalsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$42.85
Phillies vs. Yankeesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Twins vs. Dodgersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Astros vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Tigers vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Tigers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Astros vs. Marinersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+330.6%+$99.17
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$75.24
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+40.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" 20+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+275.5%+$134.99
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 25 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+179.2%+$80.63
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+178%+$156.66
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$65.69
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+125.5%+$46.78
Will Israel strike Syria on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$31.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Fritz vs. Rafael Jodar: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Cameron Norrie vs. Rafael Jodar: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$109.52
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.9
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$79.74
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
ATP Toronto – Rublev vs. Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
ATP Washington D.C: Michelsen vs. Evansbacked Evans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
ATP Washington D.C: Shelton vs. McDonaldbacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Swiss Open: Ruud vs. Cerundolobacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.4
Nordea Open: De Jong vs. Griekspoorbacked De Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$112.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$59.44
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$65.34
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$41.73
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$30.92
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-69.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+107%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+121.7%+$42.59
Dream vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$44.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IEM Cologne: FURIA vs. Astralisbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+119.6%+$23.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.