MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0576bfc9e7519b8883c530b8ac919c8e4dd365c14deb6268a500d1525eafa80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $743,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $756,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $743,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Nationals | 32c | 551,894$178,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373,315.07 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Astros | 68c | 168,528$113,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,904.94 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Astros | 68c | 147,490$100,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,293.2 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Astros | 67c | 110,000$73,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,700 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 68c | 88,552$60,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,149.8 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nationals | 31c | 29,177$9,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,137.12 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 65c | 28,389$18,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,424.21 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nationals | 39c | 23,246$8,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,282.41 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Nationals | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,800 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 69c | 14,223$9,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,771.23 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 65c | 11,914$7,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,692.94 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astros | 68c | 11,500$7,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,820 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Astros | 68c | 10,866$7,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,379.19 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Astros | 44c | 10,322$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,563.83 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 30c | 9,649$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,754.51 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 69c | 6,733$4,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.74 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Astros | 70c | 6,719$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.32 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Astros | 68c | 5,142$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.56 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Astros | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Nationals | 37c | 4,073$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.22 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nationals | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…4e2bbacked Nationals | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Astros | 69c | 3,631$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Astros | 68c | 3,457$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.76 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Astros | 68c | 3,232$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.11 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Nationals | 31c | 3,211$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.59 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…d50bbacked Nationals | 33c | 3,200$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 49cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3607backed Nationals | 29c | 2,750$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Astros | 69c | 2,742$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.17 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Astros | 70c | 2,315$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.31 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Astros | 68c | 2,230$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.4 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 69c | 2,108$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.32 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a69…2f29backed Astros | 67c | 2,100$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Astros | 69c | 2,021$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.49 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Astros | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8150backed Astros | 67c | 1,900$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 62c | 1,803$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.69 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 59c | 1,779$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.68 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Nationals | 34c | 1,742$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.73 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Astros | 68c | 1,550$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 66c | 1,549$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.15 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 30c | 1,519$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.95 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…f88ebacked Astros | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Astros | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Astros | 67c | 1,394$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.59 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…3ea3backed Astros | 68c | 1,213$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 31c | 1,060$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.75 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Nationals | 61c | 1,025$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.25 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Nationals | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Astros | 70c | 930$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…7720backed Astros | 67c | 900$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Astros | 66c | 821.84$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.41 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…fe47backed Astros | 67c | 800$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 32c | 799.96$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.97 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 78c | 761.42$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.51 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 31c | 757$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.33 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 32c | 707$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.76 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Astros | 64c | 687$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.36 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Astros | 64c | 668$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.62 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Astros | 68c | 653$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.72 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Astros | 70c | 652$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.18 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Astros | 68c | 652$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.95 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Astros | 67c | 646$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.35 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Astros | 64c | 629.84$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.3 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astros | 68c | 624$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.29 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Astros | 68c | 623$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.65 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Astros | 66c | 607.4$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.67 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Astros | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 70c | 571.51$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.21 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Astros | 54c | 483$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.64 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Nationals | 36c | 471.99$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.45 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Astros | 68c | 438$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.84 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Nationals | 31c | 437.13$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.62 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 31c | 419.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.35 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Astros | 66c | 399.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Astros | 36c | 398.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 67c | 363$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.29 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Astros | 70c | 318.07$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.65 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nationals | 32c | 313$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.84 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…0f19backed Nationals | 30c | 310$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nationals | 33c | 303.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.25 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 31c | 299.78$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 67c | 291.04$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Astros | 68c | 290$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 71c | 281.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 41c | 280.91$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.48 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Nationals | 72c | 278.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nationals | 32c | 273.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.73 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Nationals | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Nationals | 32c | 247.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Astros | 68c | 224$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.32 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Astros | 66c | 218.06$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.01 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Nationals | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Nationals | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Astros | 62c | 179.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Nationals | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.