TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36da…e646

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
285
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Olympics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT23545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 235 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$39,048.43
Tigers vs. Twinsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11,937Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7,011.28
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,518Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$4,340.6
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,883.54
Mariners vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,166Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+111.9%+$9,140.24
Cubs vs. Blue Jaysbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,060
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,303.04
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,199.04
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,002.1
Red Sox vs. Astrosbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$6,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,063.9
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17,203.68
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,971Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$4,503.08
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29,130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+47.6%+$13,861.08
Rockies vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$18,967.08
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$26,323.15
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33,743Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+50%+$16,867.2
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17,720.64
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,208.4
Red Sox vs. Astrosbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,972Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,971.8
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$204
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$1,000
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,223Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+209.2%+$10,926.76
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14,467Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$16,983
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,736Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,736.49
Red Sox vs. Padresbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,672Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,671.5
Showing 25 of 235 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17,508Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$9,427.24
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. DN Freecsbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16,744Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16,743.6
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DN Freecsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$405.12
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,984Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,983.67
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. Nongshim Red Forcebacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. JD Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$503.68
League of Legends: DN Freecs vs. DRXbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20,735Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$11,165
League of Legends: T1 vs. Gen.Gbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19,826Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+252.2%+$49,996.04
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. Nongshim Red Forcebacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,980
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked Hanwha Life · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.07
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+299.2%+$1,408.96
League of Legends: AG.AL vs. Gen.Gbacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,021.4
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Top Esportsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11,310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$6,090
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. G2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20,604
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. GAMbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$403.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 13, 2025, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC: Mangos vs. da Silvabacked da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$1,026
UFC: Miller vs. Drago backed Drago · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$556.88
UFC Fight Night: Lucindo vs. Hillbacked Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,190.2
UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. Ribovicsbacked Brener · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,415.4
UFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. Cornollebacked Cornolle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$7,824Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,824.44
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos Santosbacked Magny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$7,921Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$11,398.8
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Gore backed Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$7,776Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,776.35
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,388.12
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25,413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25,412.76
UFC Fight Night: Buday vs. Buchechabacked Buday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,548Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$3,789.98
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,134.28
UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull backed Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$6,225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+203%+$12,639.55
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeirabacked Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17,512Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$47,347.8
Gamrot vs. Hookerbacked Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$205.59
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$695.58
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+51.6%+$100.61
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$100.05
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$99
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,025
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,349.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Cincinnati - Popyrin vs. Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18,570Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$11,872.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel military action against Iraq before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$183.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Niklas Astedt win the WSOP main event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$200.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$309.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.