MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9444c288750d8f5c94bc82304cf5f665ad3e620f15ea73c031046640d79768f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Red Sox, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 57c | 14,666$8,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,306.42 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Padres | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Red Sox | 42c | 8,750$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.5 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Red Sox | 43c | 8,075$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.19 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Red Sox | 25c | 4,454$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.96 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Padres | 56c | 3,000$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Padres | 57c | 2,864$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.51 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Padres | 54c | 2,755$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.01 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Red Sox | 43c | 2,149$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.71 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Red Sox | 18c | 2,131$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.52 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 57c | 1,784$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.25 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Red Sox | 40c | 1,763$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.24 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Padres | 58c | 1,693$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.18 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Red Sox | 1c | 1,416$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 11c | 1,393$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.65 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Red Sox | 43c | 1,364$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.63 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 43c | 1,350$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.25 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 15c | 1,341$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Padres | 58c | 1,249$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.51 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Red Sox | 44c | 1,100$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 42c | 1,086$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.96 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Red Sox | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Red Sox | 46c | 870.53$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Red Sox | 42c | 830.25$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.71 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Red Sox | 15c | 756.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Red Sox | 43c | 721$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.03 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 60c | 623.35$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.96 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Red Sox | 34c | 500$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Red Sox | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 43c | 465$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589f…b2a8backed Red Sox | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Red Sox | 3c | 424.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Sox | 8c | 415.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Red Sox | 43c | 396.86$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.65 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Red Sox | 19c | 395.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Sox | 20c | 392.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 61c | 390.12$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Red Sox | 42c | 387.66$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.82 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Padres | 56c | 384$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.96 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 40c | 375.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 26c | 353.18$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Padres | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed Red Sox | 45c | 312.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Red Sox | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Padres | 57c | 300.97$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.31 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Sox | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Red Sox | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Sox | 20c | 299.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Red Sox | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Red Sox | 7c | 250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox | 43c | 239.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 25c | 236.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff8b…effcbacked Red Sox | 5c | 231.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Red Sox | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Red Sox | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…5b8dbacked Red Sox | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Red Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Red Sox | 43c | 189.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…2775backed Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Red Sox | 45c | 172$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Padres | 67c | 161.44$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Padres | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Red Sox | 44c | 152.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Red Sox | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Padres | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Red Sox | 42c | 111$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Red Sox | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Red Sox | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8dc…98d2backed Padres | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…450ebacked Padres | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…a240backed Red Sox | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Red Sox | 43c | 98.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Red Sox | 19c | 94.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Padres | 62c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Red Sox | 23c | 75.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Padres | 56c | 66.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Sox | 43c | 65.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Red Sox | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed Red Sox | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Red Sox | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Red Sox | 44c | 46.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Red Sox | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Red Sox | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…fdcabacked Padres | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 57c | 39.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Red Sox | 45c | 38.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Padres | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03fb…532dbacked Red Sox | 43c | 31.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Red Sox | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Red Sox | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…52febacked Red Sox | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Red Sox | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.