UFC · resolved market
Gamrot vs. Hooker
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdefc4d9a0ed355b11d7cbff79ab9f5d70de6e7a371a3fd8daf0b433ac7b6a995
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hookerof Gamrot, Hooker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9716…378abacked Hooker | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,399.96 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…2f80backed Gamrot | 77c | 13,919$10,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,720.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Gamrot | 3c | 5,333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Gamrot | 70c | 2,395$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.19 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab31…9dd0backed Gamrot | 77c | 2,208$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd314…2859backed Hooker | 41c | 2,207$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa874…3082backed Gamrot | 77c | 1,983$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Hooker | 40c | 1,551$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Gamrot | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Gamrot | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.99 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked Hooker | 2c | 1,167$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.66 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Hooker | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Gamrot | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Hooker | 25c | 916$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.84 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…a865backed Gamrot | 76c | 809.01$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Hooker | 24c | 725.23$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09cb…218ebacked Hooker | 25c | 696.1$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Hooker | 52c | 657$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.79 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Gamrot | 77c | 600$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Hooker | 24c | 599.95$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.96 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Gamrot | 75c | 590.75$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.06 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…d415backed Hooker | 23c | 500$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5744backed Hooker | 24c | 424.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +325%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1239…3cebbacked Hooker | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…8e4ebacked Hooker | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Hooker | 50c | 374.97$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.49 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…d3dfbacked Hooker | 25c | 359.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.38 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Hooker | 23c | 349.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.99 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…9dfebacked Gamrot | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Gamrot | 79c | 260.24$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Hooker | 25c | 222$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.61 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Hooker | 21c | 205.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.14 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…a742backed Gamrot | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…04cabacked Hooker | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Gamrot | 80c | 178.83$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce84…304cbacked Gamrot | 63c | 166.49$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Gamrot | 75c | 158$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Gamrot | 77c | 150.17$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc7…7ca8backed Gamrot | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f91…dd16backed Hooker | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +65%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb1…a25cbacked Hooker | 24c | 124.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…8626backed Hooker | 25c | 116.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Gamrot | 76c | 111$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6990…075bbacked Hooker | 23c | 107.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe5…f089backed Hooker | 24c | 103.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7723…b349backed Gamrot | 76c | 88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…2142backed Gamrot | 76c | 88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…5a76backed Gamrot | 77c | 88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…0ac6backed Gamrot | 76c | 88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…2f61backed Gamrot | 76c | 88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…a2d4backed Gamrot | 76c | 88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…ccadbacked Gamrot | 76c | 88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…7afbbacked Hooker | 24c | 81.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Gamrot | 71c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Gamrot | 75c | 77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…3a9fbacked Gamrot | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…3581backed Gamrot | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…7335backed Gamrot | 76c | 50.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715f…a096backed Hooker | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…c5d7backed Gamrot | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…228bbacked Gamrot | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Gamrot | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…83a2backed Hooker | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +121%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…af29backed Gamrot | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Gamrot | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…a975backed Gamrot | 59c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf279…70cebacked Gamrot | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Gamrot | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…bb73backed Gamrot | 77c | 32.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…9236backed Gamrot | 80c | 31.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x867a…354bbacked Gamrot | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Gamrot | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…c71fbacked Gamrot | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…fd0bbacked Gamrot | 74c | 18.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…6182backed Gamrot | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…782dbacked Gamrot | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gamrot vs. Hookerthis page
- Du Plessis vs. AdesanyaDu Plessis won
- Jingliang vs. PratesPrates won
- Kara-France vs. ErcegKara-France won
- Tuivasa vs. RozenstruikRozenstruik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.