UFC · resolved market
Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41f9de1ef93214be796d85342178ad8ee88380559eee7e15790e5f6c8923f0f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Du Plessisof Du Plessis, Adesanya
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x741e…2f80backed Adesanya | 52c | 56,656$29,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,298.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Du Plessis | 50c | 20,234$10,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,205.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Du Plessis | 48c | 13,269$6,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,965 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd314…2859backed Du Plessis | 48c | 12,471$6,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,438.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Du Plessis | 48c | 11,500$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,980 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…d415backed Adesanya | 52c | 7,000$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Du Plessis | 48c | 6,821$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189a…7a56backed Du Plessis | 48c | 5,610$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Adesanya | 50c | 5,100$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…64c5backed Adesanya | 51c | 4,833$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…dd9abacked Adesanya | 51c | 3,899$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Adesanya | 50c | 3,458$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.05 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Du Plessis | 50c | 2,940$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.74 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Adesanya | 52c | 2,686$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0cbdbacked Adesanya | 55c | 2,065$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked Adesanya | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2743…8e7bbacked Du Plessis | 51c | 1,954$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Adesanya | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Adesanya | 52c | 1,924$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Adesanya | 50c | 1,806$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.8 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…79a2backed Adesanya | 52c | 1,667$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…5701backed Du Plessis | 50c | 1,531$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Du Plessis | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.99 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Du Plessis | 48c | 1,347$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Du Plessis | 51c | 1,296$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Adesanya | 4c | 1,216$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Du Plessis | 49c | 1,206$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.88 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Du Plessis | 47c | 1,041$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.87 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…8e4ebacked Adesanya | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…4b92backed Adesanya | 51c | 1,000$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Du Plessis | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…2ff6backed Du Plessis | 51c | 987.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.24 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…5a5abacked Adesanya | 52c | 961.91$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…14adbacked Adesanya | 51c | 920.39$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Adesanya | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Adesanya | 50c | 749.08$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.54 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…92dfbacked Du Plessis | 50c | 622.32$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…3aabbacked Du Plessis | 50c | 618.32$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bda…9b11backed Adesanya | 51c | 608.16$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…1782backed Du Plessis | 51c | 600.79$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Du Plessis | 49c | 599.97$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…a865backed Du Plessis | 51c | 501.14$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…9729backed Adesanya | 52c | 501.02$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Du Plessis | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…6429backed Adesanya | 52c | 493.48$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1285…6a2fbacked Du Plessis | 49c | 479.27$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Du Plessis | 50c | 460$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…696bbacked Adesanya | 53c | 434$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09cb…218ebacked Du Plessis | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…5c5cbacked Du Plessis | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0c…3a82backed Adesanya | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…fcb5backed Adesanya | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…8072backed Adesanya | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3617…aa10backed Du Plessis | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…af29backed Du Plessis | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked Adesanya | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Adesanya | 50c | 382.66$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Adesanya | 50c | 367.6$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e3…a7cdbacked Du Plessis | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…eb7ebacked Du Plessis | 50c | 349.4$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Du Plessis | 53c | 320.54$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.65 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be0…df54backed Adesanya | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…73aabacked Du Plessis | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb718…fce3backed Adesanya | 51c | 298.04$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5167…ccefbacked Du Plessis | 51c | 297.55$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…5b51backed Adesanya | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…df37backed Du Plessis | 44c | 250$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Du Plessis | 48c | 221.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb24…efc2backed Du Plessis | 50c | 214.19$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f35…eb5ebacked Adesanya | 47c | 210.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50e…773ebacked Adesanya | 50c | 202.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Adesanya | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Adesanya | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…7827backed Du Plessis | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Adesanya | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940d…5a03backed Adesanya | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Adesanya | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…a742backed Du Plessis | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…eaacbacked Adesanya | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6990…075bbacked Adesanya | 51c | 196.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…4dc5backed Du Plessis | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…bd14backed Du Plessis | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…4f41backed Adesanya | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc1…874dbacked Adesanya | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b0…2b37backed Du Plessis | 51c | 194.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ab…b760backed Adesanya | 51c | 194.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Du Plessis | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Du Plessis | 49c | 190.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…3581backed Adesanya | 52c | 182.68$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…3a9fbacked Adesanya | 52c | 180.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…1f01backed Adesanya | 52c | 172.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd757…d6d2backed Adesanya | 51c | 160.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…2ec0backed Du Plessis | 51c | 158$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed Adesanya | 51c | 153$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc7…7ca8backed Du Plessis | 49c | 150$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…0638backed Adesanya | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…54e1backed Adesanya | 51c | 129.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Du Plessis | 51c | 124.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4724…215dbacked Du Plessis | 41c | 119.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…a975backed Adesanya | 38c | 114.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Du Plessis vs. Adesanyathis page
- Gamrot vs. HookerHooker won
- Jingliang vs. PratesPrates won
- Kara-France vs. ErcegKara-France won
- Tuivasa vs. RozenstruikRozenstruik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.