TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe25b…0f1b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
658
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Movies, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 65 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT16350.3%82 W · 81 L+24.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+23.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
Movies — the 163 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,065.51
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,685Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$3,201.62
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.34
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,291Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+83%+$3,563.13
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,329Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$716.4
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Officebacked Michael · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+277.6%+$996.73
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.91
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.25
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$147.25
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$145.22
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+484.9%+$361.54
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$153
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$196.09
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.55
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$183.1
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$755.55
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14,314Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$8,318.52
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.26
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,855Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,855.15
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.63
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+420.6%+$139.41
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,294.28
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,444Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$6,171.17
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.23
Showing 25 of 163 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT7142.3%30 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21,751Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,751.29
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14,499.97
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$198.12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15,396Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+183.7%+$28,287.37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20,919Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+224.6%+$46,984.95
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$82,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82,380.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37,340.11
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,652Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$5,045
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$9,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,255.37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.71
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,991Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,166.19
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.59
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25,246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+140.2%+$35,399.43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,399.99
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24,733Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,733.25
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,600
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35,532Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+124.5%+$44,237
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31,943Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+137.2%+$43,830.02
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10,390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$7,263.17
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46,803Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$25,171.8
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17,389Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,389.47
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$8,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,651.16
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.34
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+281.7%+$3,235.02
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT5435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. KT Rolsterbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,106.6
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.12
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. Dplus KIAbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$700.82
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. BNK FEARXbacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,052.79
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. BNK FEARXbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,698.57
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$7,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,996.73
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Ninjas in Pyjamasbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,142.81
League of Legends: T1 vs. Gen.Gbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,873Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,873.44
League of Legends: Cloud9 vs. Disguisedbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$727.6
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16,157Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+56.4%+$9,108.59
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.22
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$310.07
League of Legends: Team WE vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+148.5%+$1,590.59
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. JD Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.06
League of Legends: T1 vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked Hanwha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.64
League of Legends: BDS vs. Team Hereticsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$1,280
League of Legends: SK Gaming vs. G2 Esportsbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.56
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Invictus Gamingbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,181.87
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. DN Freecsbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,109.5
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. DRXbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,379.2
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. T1backed Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,027.23
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. BNK FEARXbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.57
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$540
League of Legends: DRX vs. DN Freecsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,710Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$1,290
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT5060%30 W · 20 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+131.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$9,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,189.9
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28,605Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$11,400.75
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,599.99
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,364Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$3,338.68
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,810Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$2,190
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38,507Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16,502.93
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$4,620.45
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,196.95
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+35.1%+$421.97
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,933.24
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,873Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+29.9%+$1,156.9
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15,922Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+44.7%+$7,109.63
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13,843.02
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$7,334Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$4,307.31
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,357Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+37.7%+$512.03
North Korea missile test by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Yoon in jail before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$445.77
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$122,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+42.2%+$51,550.63
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12,970Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+136.2%+$17,662.17
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+4,900%+$15,524.55
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$3,550
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$42,899.98
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$135,759Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$135,758.91
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,120
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31,414.45
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$83.78
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+123%+$3,852.58
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$8,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$8,100
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+49.3%+$660
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$179.2
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+188.7%+$113.84
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,854Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+46.1%+$2,236.16
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,581Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+119.9%+$3,095.32
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,199.94
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$546.17
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,920
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$717.4
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,685Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$535.2
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,769.86
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,204.65
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$1,199.52
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,971Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,970.89
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$1,677.85
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,619.78
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+63.6%+$54.64
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+141.9%+$3,520.08
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$540
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,035.77
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2931%9 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,509Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.5%+$6,020.83
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,217Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+315%+$6,982.28
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,769Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,768.51
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+172.6%+$1,399.9
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17,643.26
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$978Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$977.94
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,610Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$4,610
Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+58.9%+$338.39
Will Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
Will $Fartcoin hit $1b FDV in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$172.18
Story Protocol airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$18
Puffer airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$109.68
Scroll airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$84.05
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+229.5%+$23.77
Is $DJT real?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,352Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+28.6%+$2,105.11
Did Barron Trump launch $DJT?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$161.32
LayerZero airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT+123.4%+$253.93
zkSync airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2024, EDT+45.9%+$77.04
Will Caitlyn Jenner sue Sahil?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$341.58
Will Andrew Tate launch a pump.fun coin by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$131.42
Will $DADDY hit $500m FDV by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.83
Will Andrew Tate burn all his $DADDY by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$126.3
Fantasy Top Hero arrested by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.71
Will Coinbase list $WIF in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$47.5
Will $MFER hit $1 Billion FDV before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$36.49
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$705.29
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,140.97
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$8,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+30.3%+$2,560.07
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$960
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35,499.98
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15,000
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10,000
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$903Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$867.3
Cowboys vs. Broncosbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$312.02
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15,250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9,750
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,236Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+78.9%+$1,764
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,606Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$5,085.18
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$900.69
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,790
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,393Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+153.1%+$3,662.85
49ers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$165
Coin Toss: Heads or Tails?backed Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+100%+$185.25
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$6,759.62
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$407.98
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$164.99
Packers vs. Seahawksbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+69.5%+$51.6
Colts vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+108.3%+$78
Colts vs. Vikingsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2024, EST-100%-$155.67
All 24 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$1,806.68
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$8,671Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+43.3%+$3,758.77
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37,352Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+32.7%+$12,205.01
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+43.9%+$1,830
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,760Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$1,240
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.1
Trump trade deal in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,533Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,532.72
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37,298Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+31.4%+$11,729.26
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73,209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$31,402.46
Will Trump impose tariffs on Brazil in the first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+150%+$1,504.01
Trump uses a recess appointment for Cabinet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+29.8%+$196.65
Will Kevin Spacey be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$96.43
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,669Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$2,669.39
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$8,827Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+44%+$3,886.63
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67,535Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+51.2%+$34,544.85
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,767Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+80.1%+$1,414.55
Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11,219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+33.6%+$3,774.93
Donald & Melania Trump divorce before election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$18
Oakland mayor Sheng Thao indicted before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$35
Trump's July 11 sentencing pushed back?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2024, EDT+284.6%+$111
Hunter Biden found guilty in gun case?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Trump lead Biden by 1.6-1.9 or more in RCP on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$45
Trump violates gag order?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,185.94
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$4,274.86
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,337.08
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,241Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+76%+$1,702.66
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,285.69
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,240
Dodgers vs. Reds Series Winnerbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,471.5
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,599.99
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,199.98
Yankees vs. Astrosbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$230.67
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$21.59
Dodgers vs. Redsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$1,640.48
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,176Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$793.95
Mets vs. Giantsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+118.6%+$380.22
Mets vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,030.92
Braves vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$450
Phillies vs. Padresbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$36,600
Braves vs. Athleticsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17,860
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
Mariners vs. Rangersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,543Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$2,347.8
Mets vs. Piratesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,300.98
Tigers vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+100%+$5,000
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,434.05
Yankees vs. Marinersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$214.24
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$890.21
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,953Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,953.44
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,520
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$9,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$15,250
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9,400
Red Wings vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,805.47
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,375Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$1,125
Jets vs. Islandersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,320Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$3,679.99
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,740Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+83.1%+$7,260
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,900
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$2,500
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+76.3%+$2,424.13
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,367Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+72.2%+$3,153.99
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$210
Stanley Cup: Game 7backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+224.5%+$268.37
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16,999.96
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$3,300
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Bruno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,131.56
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Brad Tavares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,520
UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luan Lacerda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,384.01
UFC Fight Night: Sam Hughes vs. Piera Rodriguez (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Piera Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$4,300
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,709Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,708.94
Diniz vs. Pintobacked Diniz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Trump attend UFC 319?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,644Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+27.1%+$717.1
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$4,500
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$690
Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenabacked Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$324.99
Shevchenko vs. Fiorotbacked Fiorot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.38
Katona vs. Almakhanbacked Almakhan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+73.9%+$340
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$156
Gaethje vs. Fizievbacked Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$86
Menifield vs. Walkerbacked Menifield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$900
Du Plessis vs. Adesanyabacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$150.65
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19,900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+101%+$20,100.08
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$347.71
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$36.66
Will Kanye tweet 100-199 times February 20-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$126
Will Elon post 60-69 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.94
Will Elon post 40-49 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT+538.8%+$320.51
Will Elon post 80-89 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$44.57
Will Elon post 50-59 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$57.69
Will Elon post 90-99 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon post less than 40 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$84.42
Will Andrew Tate tweet between 240 and 259 times between June 12 and June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.58
Will Andrew Tate tweet between 200 and 219 times between June 12 and June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$31.68
Will Jim Cramer tweet bitcoin 1-2 times Jan 26-Feb 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2024, EST+69.2%+$654.45
Will Jim Cramer tweet bitcoin 5+ times Jan 26-Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2024, EST-100%-$100.03
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.7
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,170
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$37.73
Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+300%+$391.64
Will xAI have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$521.09
GPT-5 not announced in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+88.7%+$200.33
Will Elon respond to OpenAI today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$30
ChatGPT integration with iPhone before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$475.69
Apple x OpenAI partnership announced in WWDC 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$29.25
Scarlett Johansson sues OpenAI in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.39
OpenAI public release of search product by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2024, EDT+54.8%+$132.7
OpenAI announces search competitor on Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$34.21
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,356Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$866.95
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$5,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,596.48
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7,600
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$2,399.94
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,375
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,432Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,615.02
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,760
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,064Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$7,150.15
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,499.84
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,064Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$1,935.96
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45,427Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$16,915.32
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,080Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$919.99
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28,257Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+31.4%+$8,874.55
Cuomo x Mamdani debate before election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.56
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$3,580.5
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$440
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25,821.45
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,701.18
Will a Republican win Nebraska US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13,415Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+27.9%+$3,740.49
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-42.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,586Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,014
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,880
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$2,400
Eastern Michigan vs. Ball Statebacked Ball State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$8,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$8,126.93
Toledo vs. Miami (OH)backed Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10,500
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12,775.14
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+120.2%+$1,120.76
Houston vs. UCFbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,025.24
LSU vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,720.18
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,910
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2024, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+57.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-68.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,738Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,258.74
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Alcorn State Bravesbacked Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,040
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+65.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25.2%+$1,797.48
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+106.2%+$51,500
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$8,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,400
Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+149.4%+$599
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Puebla vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$420
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1backed Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$211.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$221.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$4,067.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.