Token Launches · resolved market
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cb42eebafe77f81d9164773db07ebd168add91ee909892cd14c59d4d442f3dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $377,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $391,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…e414backed No | 42c | 25,880$10,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,093.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…4aa9backed No | 33c | 21,637$7,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,392.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 62c | 12,333$7,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,737.63 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…291dbacked Yes | 65c | 11,596$7,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,509.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc893…2089backed Yes | 12c | 9,713$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940d…3bb7backed Yes | 66c | 9,219$6,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,126.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…29c6backed Yes | 62c | 9,070$5,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,579.45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfab6…c5a6backed No | 22c | 7,991$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,233.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f6…2e69backed No | 69c | 7,859$5,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 48c | 6,567$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.12 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 16c | 6,562$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.74 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Yes | 16c | 6,513$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.86 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2eb…27a4backed Yes | 62c | 6,501$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,010.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…3376backed No | 5c | 6,181$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,871.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73eb…dda5backed Yes | 2c | 5,904$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…dc40backed No | 12c | 5,089$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +391.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 52c | 4,687$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.56 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…cd5dbacked Yes | 62c | 4,411$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…7283backed Yes | 68c | 4,410$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…8c6fbacked Yes | 78c | 3,847$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…7638backed Yes | 49c | 3,618$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…8742backed Yes | 36c | 3,526$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…6c9ebacked Yes | 76c | 3,521$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 3,476$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f9b5backed No | 32c | 3,448$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 8c | 3,176$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.49 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…dda9backed No | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…d18ebacked No | 68c | 3,070$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bf…f47bbacked Yes | 66c | 3,023$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e56…4199backed Yes | 69c | 2,799$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9262…bcb8backed Yes | 72c | 2,568$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.95 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +142%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…53d8backed Yes | 68c | 2,500$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c8…0157backed No | 21c | 2,427$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfb…ee31backed No | 23c | 2,384$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ee…fc06backed Yes | 23c | 2,244$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…84f8backed Yes | 50c | 2,007$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…eaf9backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…2dc9backed No | 35c | 1,891$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.94 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,714$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.37 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be1…0ad2backed Yes | 6c | 1,665$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209c…d319backed No | 34c | 1,649$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…67dbbacked Yes | 47c | 1,500$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…f03cbacked No | 45c | 1,196$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…eb88backed No | 51c | 1,144$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbc…d633backed No | 48c | 1,091$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa4…d366backed No | 29c | 1,001$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +249.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e5…ec44backed Yes | 70c | 972.43$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e3…2e3cbacked Yes | 2c | 952.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…c756backed Yes | 62c | 886.28$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd974…541fbacked No | 39c | 770.73$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 2c | 710.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…4127backed Yes | 56c | 693.67$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked Yes | 66c | 683.41$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…47ecbacked Yes | 52c | 635.49$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…65fdbacked Yes | 68c | 575$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…35c2backed No | 48c | 554.83$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…891abacked Yes | 61c | 450$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a9…b673backed Yes | 62c | 447.08$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…1045backed No | 33c | 434.11$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…a1f4backed Yes | 54c | 401.81$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 32c | 400$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.86 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab57…842bbacked Yes | 61c | 326.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b39…9964backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…ed9bbacked No | 48c | 312.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked No | 70c | 303.82$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…40bbbacked Yes | 55c | 276.48$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…a291backed No | 50c | 252.3$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9424…44eebacked Yes | 54c | 232.44$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…9bf3backed Yes | 43c | 230.47$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…6af4backed No | 35c | 217.58$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…dd32backed Yes | 75c | 213.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…886bbacked Yes | 74c | 205$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec0…48a8backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…9047backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24aa…c32cbacked Yes | 58c | 198.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…b939backed Yes | 66c | 196.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34df…240dbacked Yes | 76c | 184.21$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…17b3backed Yes | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…cb88backed Yes | 61c | 179.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a64…8b23backed Yes | 75c | 174.03$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0b…688bbacked Yes | 79c | 162.29$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9728…bd83backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…2249backed Yes | 68c | 146.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fd…c676backed Yes | 79c | 140$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…ea2bbacked Yes | 38c | 131.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b12…1da8backed Yes | 22c | 108.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…6034backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x097e…cbdfbacked Yes | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Yes | 59c | 85.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf45c…87f8backed No | 63c | 77.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 32c | 77.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +199.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…55b6backed No | 34c | 73.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…06abbacked Yes | 60c | 66.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 44c | 52.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2096…ca7dbacked No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5771backed Yes | 69c | 43.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5319…f256backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 33cpaid | +207.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…f0aebacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…4e39backed Yes | 63c | 34.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EigenLayer airdrop by June 30?this page
- Argent airdrop by June 30?No won
- Astaria airdrop by June 30?No won
- Azuro airdrop by June 30?Yes won
- Backpack airdrop by June 30?No won
- Base airdrop by June 30?No won
- Berachain airdrop by June 30?No won
- Blast airdrop by June 30?Yes won
- Drift airdrop by June 30?Yes won
- Foundation airdrop by June 30?No won
- Initia airdrop by June 30?No won
- Jumper airdrop by June 30?No won
- LayerZero airdrop by June 30?Yes won
- Linea airdrop by June 30?No won
- Magic Eden airdrop by June 30?No won
- Mantle airdrop by June 30?No won
- MarginFi airdrop by June 30?No won
- MetaMask airdrop by June 30?No won
- Phantom airdrop by June 30?No won
- Pudgy Penguins airdrop by June 30?No won
- Puffer airdrop by June 30?No won
- Rabby airdrop by June 30?No won
- Rainbow airdrop by June 30?No won
- Rysk airdrop by June 30?No won
- Scroll airdrop by June 30?No won
- Swell airdrop by June 30?No won
- Zerion airdrop by June 30?No won
- Zircuit airdrop by June 30?No won
- Zora airdrop by June 30?No won
- pump.fun airdrop by June 30?No won
- zkSync airdrop by June 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.