Token Launches · resolved market
LayerZero airdrop by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe71ffd6668b6f26eb8f850bb668a09b64b50dc400f704035594163796d385249
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $729,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $731,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $729,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccec…28ffbacked No | 5c | 66,461$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 8c | 45,260$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,583.87 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed No | 25c | 25,441$6,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,358.54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 4c | 25,108$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.3 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 12cpaid | +180.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac22…5442backed No | 23c | 23,139$5,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,412 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb9…bc4bbacked No | 2c | 21,191$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…51c3backed No | 1c | 19,686$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…27eabacked No | 2c | 13,543$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe179…1edebacked No | 10c | 13,428$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 71c | 9,942$7,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 64c | 8,512$5,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.94 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb29e…bea4backed No | 11c | 7,776$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…0ff1backed Yes | 60c | 6,153$3,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…faafbacked No | 1c | 5,845$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 18c | 5,702$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.31 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 32c | 5,647$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.04 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d5…2884backed Yes | 48c | 5,503$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +5,352.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed No | 14c | 5,407$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.73 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…955fbacked No | 8c | 5,003$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +180.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10c1…f940backed No | 0c | 5,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775b…7304backed No | 2c | 4,606$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed No | 21c | 3,870$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.6 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…4b3fbacked No | 20c | 3,557$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 7c | 3,068$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.89 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…eb6ebacked No | 51c | 2,876$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…46d5backed Yes | 51c | 2,786$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…009ebacked No | 1c | 2,775$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…178abacked No | 7c | 2,769$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 33c | 2,556$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.11 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…7f83backed Yes | 49c | 2,269$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 70c | 2,265$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.7 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…29c6backed Yes | 76c | 2,248$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.54 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64cf…8a8abacked No | 5c | 2,134$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…1081backed Yes | 77c | 2,057$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…7d82backed No | 39c | 2,032$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…495dbacked No | 2c | 2,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f05…64fbbacked No | 19c | 1,793$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 37c | 1,603$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.47 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca62…fbfabacked Yes | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…702dbacked No | 67c | 1,490$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 26c | 1,466$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.23 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed No | 29c | 1,428$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…9567backed Yes | 70c | 1,401$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1285…6a2fbacked No | 51c | 1,377$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…a060backed Yes | 78c | 1,364$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4e…b6ddbacked Yes | 70c | 1,317$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…013ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,300$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…b637backed No | 3c | 1,300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…82eebacked No | 16c | 1,280$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd516…36bbbacked No | 49c | 1,144$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 50c | 1,100$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x209c…d319backed No | 25c | 1,083$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.09 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a4…68debacked No | 18c | 1,038$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,017$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9be…fe74backed No | 4c | 1,015$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed No | 12c | 1,010$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…4a48backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…2b49backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…faabbacked No | 12c | 971.17$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed43…3370backed No | 21c | 962.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…c8b0backed Yes | 76c | 921.56$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9872…b40cbacked No | 61c | 890.21$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5613…533dbacked Yes | 51c | 885.1$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…c381backed No | 24c | 871.57$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…1561backed Yes | 28c | 853.98$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6059…1ae9backed Yes | 61c | 825.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ee…fc06backed No | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…0ff3backed No | 22c | 764.57$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked No | 34c | 741.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc5…689cbacked No | 69c | 740.71$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed No | 14c | 732.59$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +266%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…ae7ebacked Yes | 58c | 693.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…417abacked No | 19c | 640.58$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aac…1062backed No | 18c | 633.89$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2186…0913backed No | 20c | 626.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a5…3126backed Yes | 66c | 624.84$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…c2acbacked No | 16c | 579.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…71f7backed No | 26c | 540.22$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…93e7backed Yes | 80c | 535$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…b1d3backed No | 18c | 526.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ab…696cbacked No | 41c | 512.85$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f8…cc2bbacked Yes | 41c | 512.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad5…5ccfbacked No | 12c | 501.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…3e90backed No | 20c | 501.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…7b68backed No | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be0…0154backed No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…ba7bbacked No | 54c | 489.34$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…6534backed No | 18c | 469.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 78c | 460.59$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 45c | 459.69$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.93 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…d13cbacked No | 10c | 450.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…e414backed Yes | 79c | 450.5$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…cedfbacked No | 5c | 438.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa629…27d6backed No | 12c | 424$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…dccfbacked No | 12c | 407.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Yes | 71c | 406.12$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…37ebbacked No | 8c | 405.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…82d1backed No | 22c | 401.05$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6f…726ebacked Yes | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5794…3eefbacked Yes | 75c | 399.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LayerZero airdrop by June 30?this page
- Argent airdrop by June 30?No won
- Astaria airdrop by June 30?No won
- Azuro airdrop by June 30?Yes won
- Backpack airdrop by June 30?No won
- Base airdrop by June 30?No won
- Berachain airdrop by June 30?No won
- Blast airdrop by June 30?Yes won
- Drift airdrop by June 30?Yes won
- EigenLayer airdrop by June 30?No won
- Foundation airdrop by June 30?No won
- Initia airdrop by June 30?No won
- Jumper airdrop by June 30?No won
- Linea airdrop by June 30?No won
- Magic Eden airdrop by June 30?No won
- Mantle airdrop by June 30?No won
- MarginFi airdrop by June 30?No won
- MetaMask airdrop by June 30?No won
- Phantom airdrop by June 30?No won
- Pudgy Penguins airdrop by June 30?No won
- Puffer airdrop by June 30?No won
- Rabby airdrop by June 30?No won
- Rainbow airdrop by June 30?No won
- Rysk airdrop by June 30?No won
- Scroll airdrop by June 30?No won
- Swell airdrop by June 30?No won
- Zerion airdrop by June 30?No won
- Zircuit airdrop by June 30?No won
- Zora airdrop by June 30?No won
- pump.fun airdrop by June 30?No won
- zkSync airdrop by June 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.