Token Launches · resolved market
Swell airdrop by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5a40f22b59378af8e06d059934eaa8ad0e6dd0c91aee2f7033905aac3dfb4c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 24c | 13,275$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.57 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 15c | 12,818$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,953.91 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Yes | 27c | 12,798$3,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,447.51 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…5d9ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,525$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…0ff3backed Yes | 28c | 6,795$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.86 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 62c | 5,803$3,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.09 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 10c | 4,729$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.23 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…7283backed Yes | 55c | 2,095$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…9051backed Yes | 71c | 1,831$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bd…2f52backed Yes | 8c | 1,799$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x190b…dbfabacked Yes | 55c | 1,607$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,052$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.21 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcb…535bbacked Yes | 64c | 900$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2ed7backed Yes | 2c | 884$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9be…fe74backed Yes | 6c | 867.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 39c | 625.54$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.05 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…cc2abacked Yes | 4c | 555.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…4b3fbacked No | 64c | 531.25$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e5…03bdbacked No | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +286.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…8e55backed Yes | 60c | 477.55$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1627…fe2fbacked Yes | 38c | 431.59$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…8d19backed Yes | 49c | 405.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 5c | 317.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 6cpaid | +170%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…eb94backed Yes | 4c | 295.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3675…7473backed Yes | 50c | 274.69$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaab…adfabacked Yes | 13c | 254.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa235…a438backed Yes | 50c | 235.86$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…c835backed Yes | 67c | 232.78$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…6603backed No | 33c | 232.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…a8c3backed Yes | 43c | 232$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209c…d319backed No | 12c | 215$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…e2ebbacked Yes | 5c | 207.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…f2a8backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…b8f1backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…2dc9backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…7ef3backed Yes | 50c | 180.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…a01dbacked Yes | 51c | 178.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf02…33ffbacked Yes | 22c | 169.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0450backed No | 69c | 149.6$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…ba7bbacked No | 80c | 142.71$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa622…e9b1backed Yes | 71c | 140.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…e149backed No | 76c | 134.13$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…24c4backed Yes | 65c | 125.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…eaf9backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd50a…d634backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4df…e356backed Yes | 20c | 95.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc59…df13backed No | 55c | 92.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…59bfbacked Yes | 30c | 87.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…c819backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…caa2backed No | 38c | 77.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f06…d330backed No | 70c | 75.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a2…5345backed No | 60c | 66.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b8…c5dbbacked No | 76c | 65.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…1dd6backed No | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 33cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1269…b18cbacked No | 65c | 62.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 19c | 62.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…7cd6backed Yes | 43c | 57.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae16…7111backed No | 53c | 52.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb0…fa44backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…5c0abacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…4627backed Yes | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf54…5345backed Yes | 50c | 43.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d0…4984backed Yes | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…171cbacked No | 64c | 40.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70a…5ae9backed No | 61c | 38.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…0864backed No | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…5f0cbacked No | 64c | 36.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…ab0cbacked No | 64c | 36.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…58b4backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb233…4130backed Yes | 45c | 34.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4486…4365backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…4fd4backed No | 64c | 33.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabe…5bdebacked Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a97…fe95backed Yes | 59c | 30.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…635abacked No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…08aebacked Yes | 45c | 23.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…2cd1backed Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…d0c2backed No | 63c | 22.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…b9f3backed Yes | 50c | 20.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…97cbbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…a04fbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…85a6backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…3094backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e02…7051backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…a975backed No | 64c | 19.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8505…eeecbacked No | 75c | 18.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…c2b7backed No | 63c | 18.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…d892backed No | 63c | 16.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Swell airdrop by June 30?this page
- Argent airdrop by June 30?No won
- Astaria airdrop by June 30?No won
- Azuro airdrop by June 30?Yes won
- Backpack airdrop by June 30?No won
- Base airdrop by June 30?No won
- Berachain airdrop by June 30?No won
- Blast airdrop by June 30?Yes won
- Drift airdrop by June 30?Yes won
- EigenLayer airdrop by June 30?No won
- Foundation airdrop by June 30?No won
- Initia airdrop by June 30?No won
- Jumper airdrop by June 30?No won
- LayerZero airdrop by June 30?Yes won
- Linea airdrop by June 30?No won
- Magic Eden airdrop by June 30?No won
- Mantle airdrop by June 30?No won
- MarginFi airdrop by June 30?No won
- MetaMask airdrop by June 30?No won
- Phantom airdrop by June 30?No won
- Pudgy Penguins airdrop by June 30?No won
- Puffer airdrop by June 30?No won
- Rabby airdrop by June 30?No won
- Rainbow airdrop by June 30?No won
- Rysk airdrop by June 30?No won
- Scroll airdrop by June 30?No won
- Zerion airdrop by June 30?No won
- Zircuit airdrop by June 30?No won
- Zora airdrop by June 30?No won
- pump.fun airdrop by June 30?No won
- zkSync airdrop by June 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.