Token Launches · resolved market
zkSync airdrop by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb94b3f423602fc4c7914fff5c14f4f0f7ea61f997535d00d8d03f7213b2c6113
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,735,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,758,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,735,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 875 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7a2…5345backed No | 29c | 164,305$47,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,024.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 75c | 106,601$79,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,970.59 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…28ffbacked No | 2c | 104,129$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…a060backed No | 21c | 60,880$12,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,979.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…4b3fbacked No | 28c | 48,571$13,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,517.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…80d4backed No | 44c | 48,282$21,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,219.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…51c3backed No | 23c | 46,885$10,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,983.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 15c | 46,732$7,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,061.06 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…37ebbacked No | 26c | 42,725$11,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,313.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdf…afe6backed No | 5c | 33,054$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…e414backed Yes | 75c | 30,503$22,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,529.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…b502backed No | 2c | 25,546$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…3d06backed Yes | 71c | 21,177$14,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,216.63 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Yes | 75c | 19,326$14,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,837.68 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 18c | 18,131$3,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.92 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed8…b288backed No | 5c | 17,901$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12f…d922backed No | 23c | 17,539$4,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,048.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 2c | 17,420$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.49 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 12cpaid | +180.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeec9…3387backed Yes | 66c | 17,412$11,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,838.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9e…4376backed Yes | 76c | 17,118$13,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,108.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9c…4c5fbacked Yes | 66c | 15,256$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,256.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…3c3bbacked Yes | 73c | 13,676$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe179…1edebacked No | 2c | 11,999$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…0baebacked Yes | 69c | 11,314$7,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…637dbacked No | 3c | 10,186$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…1045backed Yes | 67c | 9,718$6,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…994dbacked No | 24c | 9,665$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba1…be07backed Yes | 75c | 9,441$7,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…e1c1backed Yes | 79c | 9,283$7,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…422dbacked No | 3c | 9,259$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6549…4e1fbacked No | 6c | 8,951$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…7ee3backed Yes | 68c | 8,843$5,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed No | 36c | 8,723$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8e…6c63backed No | 5c | 7,277$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff98…908ebacked Yes | 69c | 6,942$4,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e56…4199backed Yes | 76c | 6,700$5,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.71 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a9…5304backed Yes | 64c | 6,404$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 76c | 5,793$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.42 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…9051backed Yes | 73c | 5,689$4,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 61c | 5,664$3,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1113…9063backed No | 6c | 5,366$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aac…caf5backed No | 6c | 5,357$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 31c | 5,192$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.68 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…7283backed Yes | 71c | 5,030$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.52 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…29c6backed No | 42c | 4,848$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed No | 26c | 4,605$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.23 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…171cbacked No | 35c | 4,455$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…009ebacked No | 18c | 4,317$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…eaf9backed Yes | 71c | 4,090$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…2733backed Yes | 74c | 4,077$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…5f0cbacked No | 35c | 3,870$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…ab0cbacked No | 35c | 3,865$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc893…2089backed No | 27c | 3,591$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…4fd4backed No | 38c | 3,566$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd7…9359backed Yes | 60c | 3,562$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…d0c2backed No | 48c | 3,529$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…3147backed No | 26c | 3,462$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…d892backed No | 39c | 3,424$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4e…b6ddbacked No | 30c | 3,410$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491b…e846backed Yes | 71c | 3,372$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5089…1003backed No | 31c | 3,229$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…a975backed No | 35c | 3,158$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674f…56fdbacked Yes | 75c | 2,992$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…d4f9backed Yes | 67c | 2,970$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d09…ecfbbacked No | 34c | 2,951$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…c2b7backed No | 50c | 2,906$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 65c | 2,884$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.85 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…1ce8backed No | 25c | 2,874$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ce…eba3backed No | 8c | 2,740$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a09fbacked Yes | 69c | 2,738$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…e612backed Yes | 74c | 2,725$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb027…81f6backed Yes | 57c | 2,662$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…cc5fbacked Yes | 63c | 2,600$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…2859backed Yes | 67c | 2,418$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 67c | 2,411$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.26 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…984bbacked No | 48c | 2,358$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…8e55backed Yes | 72c | 2,305$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f72…44bcbacked Yes | 60c | 2,303$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa801…ef63backed Yes | 69c | 2,264$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…dd7abacked No | 23c | 2,247$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0532…b980backed Yes | 45c | 2,219$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97af…9bc6backed Yes | 72c | 2,107$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…510dbacked Yes | 77c | 2,103$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…0400backed No | 6c | 2,092$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…2384backed Yes | 12c | 2,067$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed No | 5c | 1,925$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6623…1ca2backed Yes | 72c | 1,900$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cd…5634backed No | 34c | 1,862$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 70c | 1,857$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.48 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…deeabacked No | 24c | 1,848$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…4705backed No | 28c | 1,781$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 30c | 1,774$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.46 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e89…8946backed No | 56c | 1,713$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…362bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,668$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb9…bc4bbacked No | 26c | 1,601$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f19…1820backed No | 34c | 1,564$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…3f27backed No | 34c | 1,564$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ff…423dbacked No | 32c | 1,559$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…273dbacked No | 3c | 1,515$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf5…8116backed No | 19c | 1,492$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- zkSync airdrop by June 30?this page
- Argent airdrop by June 30?No won
- Astaria airdrop by June 30?No won
- Azuro airdrop by June 30?Yes won
- Backpack airdrop by June 30?No won
- Base airdrop by June 30?No won
- Berachain airdrop by June 30?No won
- Blast airdrop by June 30?Yes won
- Drift airdrop by June 30?Yes won
- EigenLayer airdrop by June 30?No won
- Foundation airdrop by June 30?No won
- Initia airdrop by June 30?No won
- Jumper airdrop by June 30?No won
- LayerZero airdrop by June 30?Yes won
- Linea airdrop by June 30?No won
- Magic Eden airdrop by June 30?No won
- Mantle airdrop by June 30?No won
- MarginFi airdrop by June 30?No won
- MetaMask airdrop by June 30?No won
- Phantom airdrop by June 30?No won
- Pudgy Penguins airdrop by June 30?No won
- Puffer airdrop by June 30?No won
- Rabby airdrop by June 30?No won
- Rainbow airdrop by June 30?No won
- Rysk airdrop by June 30?No won
- Scroll airdrop by June 30?No won
- Swell airdrop by June 30?No won
- Zerion airdrop by June 30?No won
- Zircuit airdrop by June 30?No won
- Zora airdrop by June 30?No won
- pump.fun airdrop by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.