TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6356…1885

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
330
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Boxing, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST6350.8%32 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bengals win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the Colts win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$29.21
Will the Tennessee Titans win the AFC south?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Chiefs vs. 49ersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,781Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+122.2%+$8,287.98
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$703Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+122.2%+$858.72
Raiders vs. Ramsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$971.12
Panthers vs. Commandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,000
Bengals vs. Brownsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,524Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+44.9%+$1,133.94
Titans vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$827Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$219.79
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+117.4%+$372.87
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,451.97
Dolphins vs. Coltsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,865.16
Texans vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$2,099.91
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,707.75
Broncos vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$286.99
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,470Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+82%+$8,583.17
Bengals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$3,335.32
Lions vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$3,800
Falcons vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$631.11
Steelers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$782.32
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$132.09
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$106.68
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$544.27
Colts vs. Titansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+132.6%+$92.71
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT4831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.63
Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$54.87
Will another player win the Ballon d'Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.42
Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.62
Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.42
Will Nico Williams win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.84
Will another country win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.23
Will Brazil win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.5
Argentina wins Copa America 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$1,061.68
Uruguay wins Copa America 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.97
Will Kylian Mbappe be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$54.68
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,681Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT+82.2%+$2,205.05
Brazil wins Copa America 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$185.78
Will Florian Wirtz be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.42
Will Kai Havertz be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$37.5
United States wins Copa America 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$60.69
Mexico wins Copa America 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.98
Will France win Group D?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+156.4%+$304.98
Will Austria win Group D?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,334Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+57.8%+$770.98
Will Netherlands win Group D?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+56.2%+$16.45
Will Portugal win Group F?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$41.29
Will Spain win Group B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$250
Will Spain win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$29.85
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2025, EDT3129%9 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.99
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.39
Will LeBron retire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Porzingis return by end of NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2024, EDT+238%+$193.45
Will the Celtics win the 2024 NBA Finals 4-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$18
NBA Finals Game 4: Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$106.16
Will Mike Breen say "Bang" during Game 3 broadcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$22.2
Jayson Tatum 25+ points in every game of NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$520
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Series Winnerbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,999.22
New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers: Game 7backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,827Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,827.43
Thunder vs. Mavericks Series Winnerbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$25
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks: Game 1backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,444Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$923.53
Cavaliers vs. Magic Series Winner backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$844Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2024, EDT+50.6%+$426.73
Clippers vs. Mavericks Series Winnerbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$449
Bucks vs. Pacers Series Winnerbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$580
NBA: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers 2024-04-30backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,960Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2024, EDT+170.3%+$5,040
NBA: Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers 2024-04-29backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$4,057.38
Timberwolves vs. Suns Series Winner backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,014
NBA: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics 2024-04-27backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$239
NBA: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers 2024-04-23backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$4,600
NBA: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers 2024-04-21backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,404Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,403.79
NBA: LA Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks 2024-04-21backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$346.09
NBA Play-In: Heat vs Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$76.67
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2024, EDT+69.3%+$1,620.95
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$225.79
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2024, EST267.7%2 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-89.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$18.88
Senate control after 2024 election?backed Democrats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$638
Will a Democrat win Maryland US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+37%+$135
Will a Republican win Maryland US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+35.1%+$130
Will a Democrat win Washington US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$48.64
Will a Republican win Washington US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$50.38
Will a Democrat win Utah US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$31.41
Will a candidate from another party win Utah US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$15.39
Will a Republican win Utah US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$100.53
Will a Republican win Connecticut US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$211.87
Will a candidate from another party win Connecticut US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$14.26
Will a Republican win Missouri US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$60.24
Will a candidate from another party win Missouri US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$15.5
Will a Republican win New Mexico US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$51.19
Will a Republican win Rhode Island US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$66.01
Will a Democrat win Wyoming US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$55.38
Will a Republican win Wyoming US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$81.34
Will a Democrat win Rhode Island US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$34.55
Will a Democrat win North Dakota US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$70.37
Will a Republican win Minnesota US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$33.64
Will a Republican win Delaware US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$168.01
Will a Democrat win Delaware US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$96.54
Will a candidate from another party win Delaware US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$10.98
Will a Republican win Indiana US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$96
Will a Democrat win Nebraska US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$10.19
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2024, EDT2317.4%4 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick9cpaid-52.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Yankees win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$127
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+404.1%+$1,371.88
Mets vs. Dodgers - Game 5backed Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT+127.2%+$573.2
Will the Mets and Dodgers combine for 8 or more runs scored?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will the Kansas City Royals win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$108.22
Will the Atlanta Braves win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$83.98
AL Wildcard: Royals vs. Oriolesbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$317.4
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$164.8
Will the Minnesota Twins win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$102.9
Will the Seattle Mariners win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$27.64
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$35.2
Will the Boston Red Sox win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$72
Will the Chicago Cubs win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$45.44
Will the Texas Rangers win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$52.6
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$26.09
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$51.08
Will the San Francisco Giants win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$27.31
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$30.62
Will the Oakland Athletics win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.1
Will the Washington Nationals win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$30.37
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.87
Will the Miami Marlins win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$71.76
Will the Colorado Rockies win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$17
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2025, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.18
Florida Panthers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,701Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+97.1%+$4,564.04
Edmonton Oilers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$171.02
Stanley Cup: Game 7backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$876Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+61.6%+$539.58
Stanley Cup Finals: Game 1backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2024, EDT+82%+$214.75
Dallas Stars win the 2024 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,299.89
New York Rangers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2024, EDT+28%+$36.39
Colorado Avalanche win the 2024 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$541.05
Carolina Hurricanes win the 2024 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,173.67
Vegas Golden Knights win the 2024 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$48.79
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2024, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UConn v. Purdue: Over/Under 144.5 points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$240
UConn beats Purdue by >6.5 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will South Carolina win the Women's NCAA tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$210
March Madness: UConn vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$933.66
March Madness: Purdue vs. NC Statebacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2024, EDT+26.5%+$369.6
Women's March Madness: Iowa vs. LSUbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2024, EDT+84.2%+$351.9
March Madness: Sum of Final Four seeds >10.5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$240
March Madness: Duke vs. NC Statebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,440
NCAA Tournament 2024: Will two #1 seeds make it to the Semifinals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$95
NCAAB: Purdue Boilermakers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs 2024-03-29backed Gonzaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,067.22
NCAAB: Iowa State Cyclones vs. Illinois Fighting Illini 2024-03-28 backed ISU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,137.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+106%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another team win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$13.35
Will Mercedes Racing win the 2024 F1 Constructor's Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$71.04
Will George Russell win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.3
Will George Russell win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.55
Will Oscar Piastri win the Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+93.6%+$75.95
Will Lando Norris win the Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,387.66
Will Charles Leclerc win the Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+1,477.8%+$3,487.19
Will Lando Norris win the British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2024, EDT+38.8%+$76.69
Will Max Verstappen win the British Grand Prixbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2024, EDT+50.2%+$434.06
Will George Russell win the British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2024, EST1020%2 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-65%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Todd Fine win the 2024 US Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$31.5
Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$54.49
SAVE act becomes law before election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$32
Hunter Biden in jail before election day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$60.64
Trump ineligible to run for President?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$159.83
Abortion on the 2024 ballot in Arizona?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$26.99
Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Trump + Biden debate on June 27 as planned?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$25
Will Trump mention Biden the most in South Carolina speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2024, EST-100%-$70
Will Trump mention Border the most in South Carolina speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2024, EST+122%+$170.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$53.49
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$76.65
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$412.9
Fed rate hike in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$33.54
Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$78.75
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$76.01
Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$282.65
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$38.87
Fed emergency rate cut in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.81
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2024, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+886.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$4,718.64
Will Diddy flee the US before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.18
Kanye drops music in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT+9,336.4%+$6,938.79
Drake drops new track by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$221.78
Kendrick drops another track by midnight?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2024, EDT+62.4%+$200.91
Kanye drops Vultures 2 by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2024, EDT+39.7%+$75.3
GRAMMYs 2024: Will ’SOS’ by SZA win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2024, EST-100%-$190.32
GRAMMYs 2024: Will Noah Kahan win Best New Artist?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2024, EST+25%+$40
GRAMMYs 2024: Will "What Was I Made For?" by Billie Eilish win Song of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2024, EST-100%-$131.05
GRAMMYs 2024: Will "Anti-Hero" by Taylor Swift win Song of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2024, EST-100%-$13.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-87.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$21.17
Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$40.52
Will Georgia win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+28.8%+$231.13
Will Avery Johnson win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Will Louisville win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$60.38
Will Oklahoma State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$43.83
Will NC State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$50.41
Will USC win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$16
Will Florida State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$131.25
CFB: Florida St. vs. Georgia Techbacked Florida St. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$160
All 10 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China win the 3rd most medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.52
Will Japan win the 3rd most medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will another country win the 3rd most gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will Germany win the 3rd most gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.91
Will Germany win the 3rd most medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will the United States win the 3rd most gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Zharnel Hughes (GBR) win Gold in 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$13
Will Cole Hocker (USA) win Gold in 1500m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+2,400%+$480
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$443.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2024, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-73%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2024, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-49.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2024, EDT40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2024, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2024, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+619.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nic Carter defeat David Hoffman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$35.5
Will Nic Carter vs. David Hoffman have no winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT+1,150%+$394.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NVIDIA largest company before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT+30.5%+$88.27
$DJT market cap less than $1b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$45.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
María Corina Machado arrested before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
Maduro out before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scottie Scheffler assault charge dropped?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2024, EDT+138.5%+$1,060.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USA vs. Ireland - Cricket T20 World Cupbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2024, EDT+138.1%+$345.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 303: Who will win - Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes?backed Ortega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT+133.7%+$732.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Copa America: Uruguay vs. Brazil - Who will advance? backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$43.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fabiano Caruana win FIDE Candidates 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$175
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another player win the US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT+25%+$33.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.