TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will BC NDP win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$269,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99a1…b0c3backed No0c51,400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805132.9%15 W · 498 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes60c5,198$3,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.237650%38 W · 38 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes56c4,274$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.652441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd909…fd75backed Yes76c4,075$3,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.331080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eaa…d431backed No27c2,664$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No15c2,486$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.571,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x694c…315abacked Yes65c2,455$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d9…e91ebacked No35c2,455$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf86d…e314backed Yes62c2,399$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8607…f4d1backed Yes73c2,149$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x072a…cee6backed No28c2,056$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…cf78backed Yes63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa6…968dbacked No37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2b…8f6dbacked No39c1,458$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3376…30c2backed Yes61c1,458$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf41…1587backed Yes77c1,344$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.921942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes61c1,233$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.131637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…a2cdbacked No44c1,150$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc2c…3544backed No34c1,068$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.1110%0 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes66c1,020$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.25437%20 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a0…cc23backed No39c999$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df0…7548backed Yes61c999$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0490…c81fbacked Yes47c942.55$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.5414330.8%44 W · 99 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+104.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Yes54c923.14$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.647345.2%33 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb45…d188backed Yes73c806.81$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e7…626cbacked Yes75c743.54$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…ac8ebacked Yes62c687$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe242…142fbacked No38c687$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x146b…2e37backed Yes47c653.05$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.51520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-57.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2803…0dd7backed Yes73c614.62$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+114.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd1…7df8backed No12c533.78$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed No10c515.63$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.568047.5%38 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4711…61b3backed Yes66c514.46$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No12c504.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.481414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-78.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15010233.3%34 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad04…e581backed Yes66c498.28$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No42c480.76$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7657636.3%209 W · 367 L-27.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x790c…033cbacked Yes72c474.5$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.153860.5%23 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe880…a452backed Yes45c445.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes66c441.56$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.611650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes68c438.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x042e…8c9fbacked Yes67c435.02$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4562backed Yes60c410.41$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.215036%18 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc03…5a65backed Yes65c401.8$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Yes54c401.39$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.321741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No26c360.56$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.11,31843.9%579 W · 739 L-26.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe30e…df18backed Yes63c350.71$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeae7…61a0backed No28c339.95$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0f…cc86backed Yes61c314.75$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd49…0d55backed No15c314.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.21711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes67c308.9$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.06633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae43…5701backed No57c300$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9265…4ab7backed Yes54c283.61$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.951915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-66.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked No36c279$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.448337.3%31 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd1c…e2d3backed Yes70c267.19$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.18875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed No28c264.22$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.81273.7%1 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick10cpaid-75.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9cc…387abacked No11c239.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.348529.4%25 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87cb…67a0backed No45c229$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe812…eaf0backed Yes55c229$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bca…d170backed No45c211$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f3…b80dbacked Yes55c211$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x241f…0440backed No24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e91…45b8backed Yes79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2223…8293backed No47c199.68$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06da…e446backed Yes62c199$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a21…b164backed No38c199$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…1ceabacked Yes62c198$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd97…f518backed No38c198$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed No15c190.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.723043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb03b…62e0backed Yes60c185.36$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.141442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19a5…84bcbacked Yes60c184.73$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1953…cc0ebacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442080%16 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed No27c169$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.63714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-73%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd6…4ec1backed No52c166$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6db8…b5b0backed Yes59c157.63$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96a1…657fbacked Yes66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…4188backed No34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3b4…b851backed Yes62c145$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x347f…fd58backed No38c145$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd387…cb91backed No53c135.19$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23cf…3349backed Yes79c128.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.841741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x532d…c526backed No15c112.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc53b…4361backed Yes62c112$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5dd…b0a9backed No38c112$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe67b…3ec6backed No20c105.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.19540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d90…c30fbacked Yes80c101.95$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes69c101$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.939721.6%21 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4038023.9%91 W · 289 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3f…2053backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadaf…55e9backed Yes64c98.75$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd13…e6f1backed Yes11c95.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.59633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+130.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5bc…0303backed Yes61c90$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x741c…6602backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291080%8 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+94.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1f56…ccd7backed No56c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4669…a009backed Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1efa…6a86backed No36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-47%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…64e4backed Yes73c68.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb84…a22cbacked Yes73c67.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.21666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed0…5d72backed Yes62c66.57$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f95…a01bbacked No38c64.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.