TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd1c…e2d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
210
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5662.5%35 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49%+$14.22
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+47.3%+$94.69
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$38.42
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$183.05
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+54.5%+$61.11
Will the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$18.6
Spread: Patriots (-9.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+56.3%+$12.51
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$35.97
Spread: Broncos (-11.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11.88
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.9
Scorigami in NFL Week 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.95
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+102%+$40.82
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$25.63
Will Aaron Rodgers retire?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+116.6%+$116.57
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+103.3%+$434.69
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$25.14
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Drake Maye break the QB rushing record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+33.2%+$33.2
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST3852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.7%+$3.49
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Knicks vs. Suns: 1H Moneylinebacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+97%+$10.67
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+32%+$12.81
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.23
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$20.12
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25.9%+$7.78
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+126%+$23.94
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+169.7%+$171.35
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Over 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$67.4
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+133.8%+$133.8
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+37%+$10.7
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$117.44
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
USC vs. TCUbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$60.58
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Techbacked Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+52.3%+$99.34
Toledo vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.47
Troy vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+49.5%+$9.9
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$909Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+121.6%+$1,105.02
Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Ohio State make the CFP National Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+46.7%+$23.37
Will Oregon make the CFP National Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$120.44
Oklahoma vs. Navybacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$10.75
Rutgers vs. Kansas Statebacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+35.6%+$14.24
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+105.5%+$13.41
Will Ohio State beat Tennessee by 8 or more points?backed Tennesse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$10
SMU vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+31.6%+$30
Indiana vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+37.7%+$37.74
California vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+49.9%+$54.94
Western Kentucky vs. James Madisonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+48.5%+$5.66
Navy vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick73cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$32.62
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$39.28
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$73.53
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$26.9
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$29.54
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.24
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Alessandro Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$6.67
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Pico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Burns vs. Moralesbacked Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenabacked Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Du Plessis vs. Stricklandbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$40.47
Adesanya vs. Imavovbacked Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Covington vs. Buckleybacked Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Gane vs. Volkovbacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Du Plessis vs. Adesanyabacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$13.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+69.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2024, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-8.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will the Inter Miami win the 2024 MLS Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$221.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+188.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+188.5%+$52.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3)backed Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+90.5%+$12.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+87.6%+$38.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,816Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+40%+$727.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+39.1%+$78.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$3.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$3.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockies vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$101.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.