College Football · resolved market
Will Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40d935cf0a5510530e3bc95eaba373ef481c689c1a87d0ba6f954590a70bfbd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $462,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $462,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 3c | 55,935$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.28 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 7c | 28,003$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes | 3c | 20,262$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 4c | 15,505$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.82 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 3c | 13,260$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.49 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…3365backed Yes | 1c | 11,429$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Yes | 8c | 11,068$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 2c | 9,095$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.34 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 6c | 8,225$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.9 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Yes | 5c | 7,125$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 2c | 6,843$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.48 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 3c | 6,816$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Yes | 4c | 5,424$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.73 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Yes | 4c | 5,095$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.63 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe97a…9d5bbacked Yes | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 4,117$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…cd72backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dc…8bc3backed Yes | 7c | 3,338$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.04 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…1a10backed Yes | 3c | 2,942$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Yes | 5c | 2,409$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 2,214$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.73 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe78f…3973backed Yes | 2c | 2,093$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 5c | 2,092$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…24cfbacked Yes | 5c | 2,041$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…64a2backed Yes | 2c | 1,916$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80de…ef85backed Yes | 7c | 1,769$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa87…6a63backed Yes | 10c | 1,726$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…c167backed Yes | 10c | 1,726$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4816…e928backed Yes | 8c | 1,218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes | 2c | 1,212$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…aaf1backed Yes | 5c | 1,030$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 8c | 941.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 3c | 887.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 7c | 830$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 3c | 730.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Yes | 7c | 717.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…787ebacked Yes | 2c | 609.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 5c | 598.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 9c | 458.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…9f73backed Yes | 6c | 423.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…2eaabacked Yes | 9c | 415.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…757abacked Yes | 3c | 414.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc054…5759backed Yes | 18c | 338.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…1cf3backed Yes | 9c | 326.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Yes | 7c | 300.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…d4d5backed Yes | 9c | 263.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…5a86backed Yes | 8c | 249.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 16c | 248.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…c235backed Yes | 8c | 242.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…bf60backed Yes | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8938…f801backed Yes | 9c | 229.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81d…bc5dbacked Yes | 10c | 228.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c7…4a10backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…3133backed Yes | 5c | 221.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa050…15ccbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…b2ffbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…5009backed Yes | 14c | 172.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…3802backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Yes | 9c | 127.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6169…bd03backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0513…4e8cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…dd1ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…c29abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb386…4941backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?this page
- Will Ole Miss win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Florida State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Kansas State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will LSU win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Miami (FL) win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Missouri win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will NC State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Nebraska win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Oklahoma State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Oklahoma win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will USC win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Utah win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.