TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Nebraska win the 2025 College Football Playoff?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,367,245
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$839,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,367,245 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c300,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c270,977$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.241910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…aad5backed Yes0c102,421$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.26170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c76,885$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.77402.5%1 W · 39 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc377…b0cbbacked Yes0c59,574$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d4d…070abacked Yes0c57,910$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x704d…2010backed Yes0c50,829$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c48,917$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8390%0 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes0c45,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205d…f818backed Yes0c42,497$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes0c40,370$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.116442.2%27 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…4d11backed Yes0c35,780$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5e…1b16backed Yes0c35,678$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a3d…aef0backed Yes0c33,670$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7da9backed Yes0c31,613$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…4f5bbacked Yes0c30,618$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2206…2730backed Yes0c29,793$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes0c29,713$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.43120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe050…acd9backed Yes0c29,642$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe879…13e7backed Yes0c29,638$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2d…ed09backed Yes0c29,489$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.47100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb474…437cbacked Yes0c29,431$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb19c…7146backed Yes0c29,270$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4fc…0afabacked Yes0c29,175$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab1…3732backed Yes0c28,692$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.08100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x837e…9ec6backed Yes0c28,672$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dc3…5562backed Yes0c28,545$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba9…3420backed Yes0c28,242$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…a478backed Yes0c27,562$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa1…8f3fbacked Yes0c27,544$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b1…4939backed Yes0c27,450$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18bf…557cbacked Yes0c27,433$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddfb…2eaabacked Yes0c27,007$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…0498backed Yes0c26,837$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5190%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x501b…b741backed Yes0c26,695$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb243…8b95backed Yes0c26,691$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0790%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b8…4846backed Yes0c26,652$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90f…39c9backed Yes0c25,887$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d46…d3a3backed Yes0c25,799$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8645…96b8backed Yes0c24,868$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x535e…8a52backed Yes1c24,743$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd889…f831backed Yes0c24,477$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f8…7659backed Yes0c24,283$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1670…f8d4backed Yes0c23,826$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8d0…d173backed Yes0c23,512$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d75…96dfbacked Yes0c23,257$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf6…d908backed Yes0c23,249$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32a2…c77cbacked Yes0c23,238$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c2…61f0backed Yes0c23,234$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ff…fb5abacked Yes0c23,219$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8d…b056backed Yes0c23,186$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…20d9backed Yes0c23,024$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafdc…17b8backed Yes0c23,002$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb7c…316bbacked Yes0c22,957$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b6a…c2febacked Yes0c22,926$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d9a…393ebacked Yes0c22,859$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.58100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e0…99dbbacked Yes0c22,456$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…f56bbacked Yes0c22,152$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9a…1caebacked Yes0c22,146$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc9…4a1ebacked Yes0c22,083$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6380…500cbacked Yes0c22,049$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…6866backed Yes0c21,916$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7407…3f46backed Yes0c21,880$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…67cdbacked Yes0c21,832$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2db…3673backed Yes0c21,583$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ee…c0c1backed Yes0c21,562$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6961…c1ebbacked Yes0c21,528$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf621…72f5backed Yes0c21,210$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd54…eb3dbacked Yes0c21,154$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16a9…baa4backed Yes0c21,124$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ad…51d4backed Yes0c21,043$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55a7…84e8backed Yes0c21,019$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.06100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a4…95fdbacked Yes0c20,874$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a30…fd77backed Yes0c20,820$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb02c…72f7backed Yes0c20,784$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c7…0779backed Yes0c20,733$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f81…6557backed Yes0c20,404$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e7…a0dbbacked Yes0c20,279$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a91…20a5backed Yes0c19,960$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5aa…f51bbacked Yes0c19,916$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0c…b073backed Yes0c19,845$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e89…b362backed Yes0c19,740$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfb…ea56backed Yes0c19,721$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff04…5b56backed Yes0c19,599$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd578…1cc2backed Yes0c19,565$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0953…7f89backed Yes0c19,550$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa431…2b0ebacked Yes0c19,513$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089b…89b0backed Yes0c19,497$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe934…f813backed Yes0c19,450$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd685…59cbbacked Yes0c19,388$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…7ea1backed Yes0c19,339$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06dc…dc09backed Yes0c19,285$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc450…f848backed Yes0c18,824$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a3c…ece9backed Yes0c18,705$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x835c…8731backed Yes0c18,641$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7af…da44backed Yes0c18,584$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…4659backed Yes0c18,540$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91a4…7a79backed Yes0c18,451$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa7…d3ecbacked Yes0c18,233$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8a…8895backed Yes0c18,037$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.