TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Michigan win the 2025 College Football Playoff?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,387,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$907,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,387,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 412 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c299,979$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.98170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c135,134$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.271910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes0c128,940$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.8260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes0c99,151$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…aad5backed Yes0c93,956$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.14170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes0c70,000$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4165…457ebacked Yes0c53,500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e9e…fff1backed Yes0c53,184$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c50,334$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.84390%0 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe012…433cbacked Yes0c49,700$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa232…30cdbacked Yes0c49,572$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…9051backed Yes0c48,761$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.28100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b86…bdf6backed Yes0c47,636$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2083…2e65backed Yes0c46,579$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x516a…6abbbacked Yes0c45,087$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.26100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf415…f438backed Yes0c43,022$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0790%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a9a…e482backed Yes0c42,086$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x531b…413ebacked Yes0c41,824$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c41,543$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.71402.5%1 W · 39 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd9…9988backed Yes0c40,507$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7411…5e13backed Yes0c39,531$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd115…0843backed Yes0c39,341$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…4659backed Yes0c38,106$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x572e…e9b9backed Yes0c37,305$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee30…03acbacked Yes0c35,667$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb2…fe70backed Yes0c35,663$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0062…9251backed Yes0c35,081$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb243…8b95backed Yes0c33,623$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8790%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2351…1696backed Yes0c33,558$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6790%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4e…8c06backed Yes0c33,494$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c9…a3c5backed Yes0c33,004$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0190%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa153…3986backed Yes0c32,812$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x763d…5d6dbacked Yes0c32,739$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412b…e030backed Yes0c32,720$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e89…b362backed Yes0c32,071$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…4f5bbacked Yes0c30,826$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…a478backed Yes0c30,812$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f9c…6661backed Yes0c30,302$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6961…c1ebbacked Yes0c30,160$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb19c…7146backed Yes0c29,905$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a4d…4cb0backed Yes0c29,899$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf8…6fa9backed Yes0c29,689$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.07100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ff…fb5abacked Yes0c28,591$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a0…3464backed Yes0c28,115$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a5f…e4dabacked Yes0c28,019$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd18e…dcccbacked Yes0c27,880$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6490%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f2…7d7abacked Yes0c27,334$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8937…5dfdbacked Yes0c26,857$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65dc…c3ecbacked Yes0c26,741$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb8…9e6fbacked Yes0c26,721$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f89…46d7backed Yes0c26,599$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d29…722cbacked Yes0c26,454$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b4a…8819backed Yes0c26,404$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e9…e298backed Yes0c26,402$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x590a…12babacked Yes0c26,168$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.590%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a03…4bccbacked Yes0c26,100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2385…76ecbacked Yes0c26,052$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf17…8ee5backed Yes0c25,912$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.74100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d9a…393ebacked Yes0c25,849$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.55100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfb…ea56backed Yes0c24,892$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfb…9d58backed Yes0c24,883$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6590%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc4…9d93backed Yes0c24,814$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91a4…7a79backed Yes0c24,733$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8b…f613backed Yes0c24,536$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b8…4846backed Yes0c24,350$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea2…f2f2backed Yes0c24,270$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e6…603abacked Yes0c24,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa850…b473backed Yes0c23,883$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fd…0e39backed Yes0c23,738$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x306a…95d9backed Yes0c23,612$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191c…4eccbacked Yes0c23,501$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…4247backed Yes0c23,387$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d2f…a9febacked Yes0c23,205$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1737…ad9ebacked Yes0c22,872$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5440…c83abacked Yes0c21,955$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…7ea1backed Yes0c21,911$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd0…76bebacked Yes0c21,832$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205d…f818backed Yes0c21,783$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x093e…302fbacked Yes0c21,738$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf14…3105backed Yes0c21,592$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd117…2c70backed Yes0c21,369$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca2…ea0ebacked Yes0c20,808$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f9a…4962backed Yes0c20,460$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x421e…1721backed Yes0c20,282$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd569…6ad7backed Yes0c20,174$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9a…af99backed Yes0c20,115$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7861…4d82backed Yes0c20,067$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf349…d23ebacked Yes0c20,023$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x610d…3eefbacked Yes0c19,817$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bf9…f58fbacked Yes0c19,780$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8568…92adbacked Yes0c19,724$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4868…6484backed Yes0c19,595$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11dd…a34bbacked Yes0c19,479$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5da…7fe5backed Yes0c19,451$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782e…a5e6backed Yes0c19,422$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7dc…bd37backed Yes0c19,298$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2d…ed09backed Yes0c19,294$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.88100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Yes1c19,256$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.625944.1%26 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabca…6cf8backed Yes0c19,209$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59cb…e1cebacked Yes0c19,176$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.