TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Utah win the 2025 College Football Playoff?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,629,781
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$983,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,629,781 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c300,000$400 inLost-$400170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes1c233,160$1,167 inLost-$1,167.241910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes0c154,617$309 inLost-$309.23120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…aad5backed Yes0c59,104$154 inLost-$154.21170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c47,037$126 inLost-$126.07402.5%1 W · 39 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x833f…b680backed Yes2c46,827$1,015 inLost-$1,015.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191c…4eccbacked Yes0c41,173$82 inLost-$82.3550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa232…30cdbacked Yes0c39,330$118 inLost-$117.9920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes0c35,000$90 inLost-$90130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x438a…62e5backed Yes1c26,918$225 inLost-$224.541741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa1…704fbacked Yes0c17,914$54 inLost-$53.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c48…61f2backed Yes0c15,366$46 inLost-$46.130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3799…40c9backed Yes1c12,793$64 inLost-$63.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db5…49b0backed Yes0c12,297$37 inLost-$36.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb05…6320backed Yes0c10,986$33 inLost-$32.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c10,859$54 inLost-$53.59390%0 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a2…9bbabacked Yes1c10,000$50 inLost-$501915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-65.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c9,943$147 inLost-$147.43210%0 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa06d…d70bbacked Yes0c9,814$29 inLost-$29.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cfd…5bd9backed Yes1c9,781$49 inLost-$48.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes2c9,304$182 inLost-$182.083511.4%4 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8f…55d7backed Yes0c8,157$24 inLost-$24.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd8…787cbacked Yes0c7,844$39 inLost-$38.72110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda3b…7787backed Yes1c7,029$35 inLost-$35.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd560…877abacked Yes1c6,084$30 inLost-$30.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf15…8efabacked Yes1c5,966$30 inLost-$29.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa34d…1de4backed Yes1c5,827$71 inLost-$70.63529.6%5 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes2c5,558$132 inLost-$132.0924229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6550…b49ebacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost-$10425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-54.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4297…b9d6backed Yes1c4,898$24 inLost-$24.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Yes3c4,800$120 inLost-$1205944.1%26 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf723…bf76backed Yes1c3,543$18 inLost-$17.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5320…81f7backed Yes1c3,469$17 inLost-$17.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x194f…f0adbacked Yes1c2,615$13 inLost-$13.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes1c1,646$22 inLost-$21.56214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-90.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3694…1d72backed Yes3c750$21 inLost-$20.55110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.