TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Miami (FL) win the 2025 College Football Playoff?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$976,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$333,643

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $976,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c300,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes2c32,604$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.292313%3 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick6cpaid-21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c26,200$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85402.5%1 W · 39 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd287…359ebacked Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes1c21,339$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6724229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Yes3c16,564$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.115944.1%26 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dde…eb38backed Yes5c10,482$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Yes2c9,281$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.791258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick33cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes3c9,033$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.42714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes4c8,092$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.6312816.4%21 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes2c7,969$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.15214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-90.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…6ed7backed Yes2c6,790$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c6,183$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.92390%0 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c99…82fbbacked Yes5c6,019$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.293033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes2c6,001$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.09714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-69.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes5c5,840$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.893511.4%4 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2efc…5686backed Yes2c5,578$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.071827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc626…2beabacked Yes5c5,423$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-71.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes2c5,110$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.64170%0 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Yes3c5,000$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1452832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x249e…c29abacked Yes4c4,939$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.52030%6 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes4c4,252$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.56210%0 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…ed09backed Yes2c3,314$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd8…787cbacked Yes2c3,184$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.58110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2472…3365backed Yes0c3,132$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4190%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Yes2c3,030$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.32035%7 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes5c2,721$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.452240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x648e…0596backed Yes1c2,397$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.992020%4 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes3c2,251$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.79933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick13cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…afc7backed Yes5c2,226$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3441…2155backed Yes5c2,100$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f78…37b3backed Yes2c2,083$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8244…7a11backed Yes5c2,078$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-22%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes5c1,977$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.915131.4%16 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92ec…e5f5backed Yes2c1,571$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Yes5c1,438$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.94553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes1c1,397$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207234.7%25 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…42c1backed Yes7c1,370$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4adc…7639backed Yes5c1,142$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5115…dde5backed Yes5c1,100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…aad5backed Yes2c1,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x017d…0d51backed Yes5c1,000$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c2…6b70backed Yes5c1,000$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4814…1968backed Yes2c1,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcddf…92c3backed Yes5c999.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b0…1580backed Yes5c999.65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…1865backed Yes5c900$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1681…293abacked Yes5c900$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2b…7f93backed Yes5c900$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b6…9667backed Yes5c899.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7619…946dbacked Yes5c899.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c2…f6fbbacked Yes2c891.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.35130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa672…095fbacked Yes23c888.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1198backed Yes4c876.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3694…1d72backed Yes3c811.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.78110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b1…17f0backed Yes5c800.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36df…6a28backed Yes5c800$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc87a…93f9backed Yes5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x541f…b072backed Yes5c800$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d45…97f4backed Yes2c760.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c2…5396backed Yes5c700$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf12…f420backed Yes5c700$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdfb…0149backed Yes5c700$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8083…f8cdbacked Yes5c700$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d79…1dcebacked Yes5c700$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc824…cdb0backed Yes5c700$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3edb…049abacked Yes5c700$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf3b…c566backed Yes5c700$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ca…a6babacked Yes5c700$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…11fdbacked Yes2c631.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5108…d025backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f01…e2cdbacked Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3849…75afbacked Yes5c600$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x728a…68cabacked Yes5c600$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa334…a756backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04f5…4f06backed Yes5c600$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3e…ecefbacked Yes5c600$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f2…d8b6backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf145…8274backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf409…8752backed Yes5c599.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ad…5f71backed Yes5c599.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes2c587.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick7cpaid-63.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb945…bf3abacked Yes3c583.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc323…7d6abacked Yes5c577.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52eb…757abacked Yes2c544.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd072…5cc8backed Yes2c543.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe123…b1fbbacked Yes2c502.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b7…29ffbacked Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3f…6a5dbacked Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6afa…19b9backed Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ce…9bf3backed Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x487e…1e46backed Yes5c500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4860…2739backed Yes5c500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c6…fe3bbacked Yes5c500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x695c…ec00backed Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ed…7d32backed Yes5c500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc635…6546backed Yes5c499.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…d869backed Yes5c499.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1182…f86abacked Yes5c499.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…394bbacked Yes5c499.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.