TailMyPicks
Market

College Football · resolved market

Will Auburn win the 2025 College Football Playoff?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,148,756
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,536,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,148,756 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c300,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes0c247,682$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.36120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c179,480$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.961910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c89,955$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.91402.5%1 W · 39 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c71,342$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.46390%0 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…aad5backed Yes0c71,000$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb61…b6dabacked Yes0c64,489$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412b…e030backed Yes0c60,345$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…9051backed Yes0c56,538$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.61100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…68ffbacked Yes0c53,812$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce3…4793backed Yes0c47,743$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2390%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ae…55c7backed Yes0c46,118$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3690%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b9…2227backed Yes0c41,117$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f9c…6661backed Yes0c39,860$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5520…63e5backed Yes0c39,504$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8e…cff8backed Yes0c38,854$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68b0…32dbbacked Yes0c38,506$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd0…76bebacked Yes0c38,324$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30b5…11b7backed Yes0c37,386$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba7…c2b6backed Yes0c35,885$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c7…0779backed Yes0c35,631$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e42…0a06backed Yes0c35,295$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd569…6ad7backed Yes0c35,078$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a11…a90ebacked Yes0c34,788$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52bd…e647backed Yes0c33,619$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf17…8ee5backed Yes0c33,259$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.78100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…0521backed Yes0c32,043$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x354b…9a92backed Yes0c31,573$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b3a…d848backed Yes0c31,542$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6290%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabca…6cf8backed Yes0c31,271$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9a…af99backed Yes0c31,125$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd9…9988backed Yes0c30,785$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7297…2587backed Yes0c30,528$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5890%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8619…d569backed Yes0c30,017$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad8…da84backed Yes0c29,326$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63cb…736dbacked Yes0c29,316$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6660…647cbacked Yes0c29,316$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…4247backed Yes0c28,934$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7861…4d82backed Yes0c28,910$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f52…b0e0backed Yes0c27,769$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191c…4eccbacked Yes0c27,479$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7411…5e13backed Yes0c27,419$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b86…bdf6backed Yes0c27,292$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373e…4c19backed Yes0c26,882$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6590%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4868…6484backed Yes0c25,656$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858f…5cd1backed Yes0c25,148$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x353c…bfefbacked Yes0c25,048$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1590%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba4…c6cbbacked Yes0c25,048$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66bc…3b27backed Yes0c24,944$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.83100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6434…09a7backed Yes0c24,256$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…67cdbacked Yes0c23,530$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…ff37backed Yes0c23,367$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a0…3464backed Yes0c23,300$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd117…2c70backed Yes0c23,257$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes0c23,047$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.53210%0 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2f…a9febacked Yes0c22,750$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c78…a6bdbacked Yes0c22,733$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9126…de59backed Yes0c22,675$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd541…4cb4backed Yes0c22,328$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2351…1696backed Yes0c22,290$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8790%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8568…92adbacked Yes0c22,152$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee3…e262backed Yes0c22,006$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc6…1c6bbacked Yes0c21,845$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b38…a8eabacked Yes0c21,567$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.790%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa153…3986backed Yes0c21,098$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c8e…30fdbacked Yes0c21,019$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6961…c1ebbacked Yes0c20,893$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa820…975ebacked Yes0c20,529$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x763d…5d6dbacked Yes0c19,487$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66d0…bee6backed Yes0c19,369$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1190%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x232e…1d44backed Yes0c19,192$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb068…cb24backed Yes0c18,835$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abd…7525backed Yes0c18,632$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91a4…7a79backed Yes0c18,567$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…7f02backed Yes0c18,556$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeede…4287backed Yes0c18,333$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa725…3795backed Yes0c18,283$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67a…358abacked Yes0c17,799$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.490%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8b…f613backed Yes0c16,813$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…0498backed Yes0c16,592$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7890%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed4e…8907backed Yes0c16,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4df…ce07backed Yes0c15,853$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a5f…e4dabacked Yes0c15,797$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36db…b6ffbacked Yes0c15,497$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4990%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38fd…5bbcbacked Yes0c15,378$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e6…603abacked Yes0c14,511$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf8…6fa9backed Yes0c14,091$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.27100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60f…b229backed Yes0c14,028$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0990%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd115…0843backed Yes0c13,903$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e16…d9b8backed Yes0c13,525$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8452…c528backed Yes0c13,393$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba7…8bdabacked Yes0c13,371$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d3…c04abacked Yes0c13,333$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68b1…e48cbacked Yes0c13,248$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab1…3732backed Yes0c13,055$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.17100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13ae…2545backed Yes0c13,000$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd6…3723backed Yes0c12,946$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x367a…299abacked Yes0c12,667$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65dc…c3ecbacked Yes0c12,380$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.