College Football · resolved market
Will Ole Miss win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x501f66db1dd45776981ea77743d9a791af0a459cd8c07825e8e59710551862c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $881,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $881,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 300,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 69,795$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.88 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 2c | 49,852$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.47 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a9…81cabacked Yes | 0c | 28,592$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…136fbacked Yes | 2c | 21,751$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafc…705bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,355$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes | 3c | 17,712$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.71 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…6346backed Yes | 0c | 14,021$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…7ff3backed Yes | 0c | 13,992$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb5…753abacked Yes | 1c | 13,811$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8094…1665backed Yes | 0c | 12,913$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,708$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d2…b747backed Yes | 0c | 11,283$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…6e3ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,101$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06d…d70bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,814$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9b…32e5backed Yes | 0c | 8,806$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 8,439$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…3f75backed Yes | 0c | 7,875$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…fae4backed Yes | 0c | 7,089$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 1c | 5,493$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…aad5backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…5a27backed Yes | 0c | 4,824$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 7c | 4,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 3c | 4,256$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…9130backed Yes | 0c | 3,639$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…43e8backed Yes | 7c | 3,079$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 4c | 2,946$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…3365backed Yes | 1c | 2,727$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…359ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 7c | 2,250$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f3a1backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 1,949$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…a0f9backed Yes | 2c | 1,849$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cf…d71bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 1,313$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…cbe3backed Yes | 7c | 1,303$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…21a2backed Yes | 2c | 1,173$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8836…3770backed Yes | 2c | 1,115$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…cd49backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ad…7e3bbacked Yes | 3c | 595.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 7c | 499.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…3ce8backed Yes | 8c | 495.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 5c | 417.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5642…60c8backed Yes | 7c | 415.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Yes | 6c | 390.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…9711backed Yes | 7c | 374.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a0…ee9ebacked Yes | 4c | 341.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Yes | 7c | 299.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Yes | 8c | 255.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f4…959cbacked Yes | 5c | 201.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…5686backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ole Miss win the 2025 College Football Playoff?this page
- Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Florida State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Kansas State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will LSU win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Miami (FL) win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Missouri win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will NC State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Nebraska win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Oklahoma State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Oklahoma win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will USC win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Utah win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.