TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Florida State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,876,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,457,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,876,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 625 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8af2…15b9backed Yes0c991,515$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,974.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf623…0e66backed Yes0c991,515$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,974.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x595d…a1abbacked Yes0c880,555$2,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,641.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb08…1e22backed Yes0c852,150$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83f…aba2backed Yes0c795,014$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,385.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bbe…ae31backed Yes0c766,621$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c372,205$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.091910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c300,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…aad5backed Yes0c113,467$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.4170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c85,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180402.5%1 W · 39 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6702…318ebacked Yes0c77,039$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c70,663$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.63390%0 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…b312backed Yes0c58,828$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8d0…d173backed Yes0c53,281$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…9051backed Yes0c52,830$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.49100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes0c52,664$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205d…f818backed Yes0c46,420$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes0c45,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9126…de59backed Yes0c42,674$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa850…b473backed Yes0c42,267$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11dd…a34bbacked Yes0c40,695$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x704d…2010backed Yes0c39,282$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f55…3296backed Yes0c37,434$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5e…1b16backed Yes0c36,621$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…f56bbacked Yes0c36,408$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60f…b229backed Yes0c35,745$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2490%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa4b…9fe0backed Yes0c34,681$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb474…437cbacked Yes0c34,664$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd747…67e9backed Yes0c34,048$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8645…96b8backed Yes0c33,524$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c89…5fcabacked Yes0c33,201$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b1c…05a6backed Yes0c32,962$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd117…2c70backed Yes0c32,677$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe912…6105backed Yes0c32,358$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7dc…bd37backed Yes0c31,822$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x763d…5d6dbacked Yes0c31,739$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52bd…e647backed Yes0c31,500$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1737…ad9ebacked Yes0c30,739$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2cb…a133backed Yes0c30,460$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x955b…0cc7backed Yes0c30,421$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x353c…bfefbacked Yes0c30,331$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9990%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x316b…9d5dbacked Yes0c30,325$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a3c…ece9backed Yes0c30,223$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Yes0c30,166$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.251010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-87.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c30,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-94.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd578…1cc2backed Yes0c29,868$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfb…9d58backed Yes0c29,863$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5990%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06dc…dc09backed Yes0c29,753$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd0…76bebacked Yes0c29,485$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2ec…1ce4backed Yes0c29,048$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ebe…9019backed Yes0c29,009$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…4659backed Yes0c28,836$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea0c…9d2ebacked Yes0c28,656$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5aa…f51bbacked Yes0c28,568$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8251…52d3backed Yes0c28,510$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50bc…9289backed Yes0c27,803$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x824e…469fbacked Yes0c27,766$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf053…dfabbacked Yes0c27,629$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fd…0e39backed Yes0c27,598$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…4f5bbacked Yes0c27,271$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89ca…b2babacked Yes0c27,224$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.67100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x610d…3eefbacked Yes0c27,078$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabca…6cf8backed Yes0c26,745$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfb…ea56backed Yes0c26,741$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b2…e610backed Yes0c26,637$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb987…80c3backed Yes0c26,510$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x232e…1d44backed Yes0c26,439$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e6…f250backed Yes0c26,260$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0562…a209backed Yes0c26,163$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba4…c6cbbacked Yes0c26,060$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb226…3260backed Yes0c25,748$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f89…46d7backed Yes0c25,689$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeec4…6cdfbacked Yes0c25,573$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b4f…f24dbacked Yes0c25,401$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c9…a3c5backed Yes0c25,303$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9190%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3667…fc51backed Yes0c25,251$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7590%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf621…72f5backed Yes0c25,026$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x531b…413ebacked Yes0c24,906$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32a2…c77cbacked Yes0c24,903$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227b…d86fbacked Yes0c24,862$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade8…c62bbacked Yes0c24,782$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2206…2730backed Yes0c24,480$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x875f…0bf4backed Yes0c24,462$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62fa…0819backed Yes0c24,334$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf3c…7e98backed Yes0c23,939$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8290%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4165…457ebacked Yes0c23,749$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed6d…c6c7backed Yes0c23,694$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70e…760ebacked Yes0c23,554$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c9…7d65backed Yes0c23,391$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f3d…cc01backed Yes0c23,369$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b4a…8819backed Yes0c23,339$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd947…863ebacked Yes0c23,271$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c99…09febacked Yes0c23,253$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd6…3723backed Yes0c23,217$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6072…fd82backed Yes0c23,207$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5440…c83abacked Yes0c22,737$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f2…7d7abacked Yes0c22,680$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a2e…45f4backed Yes0c22,632$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…e7e8backed Yes0c22,543$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e83…db16backed Yes0c22,477$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.43100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.