TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$647,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$373,156

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $647,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fb8…e817backed Yes18c111,280$20,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,543.1840%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97ef…1aa0backed Yes19c51,350$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0997…c238backed Yes19c35,531$6,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,750.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes15c30,567$4,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,474.632313%3 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick6cpaid-21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c99…82fbbacked Yes15c27,557$4,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,024.083033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b93…9848backed Yes19c11,123$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.1130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes9c10,810$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.95131.4%16 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes19c9,599$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.89540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ec…24cfbacked Yes17c9,224$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes23c8,786$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.821942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes17c7,665$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.713444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes18c7,377$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.2524229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes15c5,085$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.54170%0 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes15c4,668$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.35214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-90.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c5…4fa3backed Yes19c3,885$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-65.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ddd…372dbacked Yes17c3,666$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.492227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b8e…014bbacked Yes15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes18c3,214$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5906048.3%29 W · 31 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes17c3,151$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.326251.6%32 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x77cf…0e71backed Yes14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0304…dcc7backed Yes21c3,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Yes15c2,500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes22c2,465$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.2615751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefcd…e2ebbacked Yes17c2,250$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+67.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes15c2,148$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.143511.4%4 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Yes15c2,000$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.1611839%46 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Yes18c1,999$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.835520%11 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26e3…f2e0backed Yes17c1,749$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-53.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes13c1,585$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.271233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51dc…8bc3backed Yes13c1,515$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.71931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91fe…ca55backed Yes13c1,503$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ab…f3a1backed Yes12c1,500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18550%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa672…095fbacked Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad91…5a20backed Yes14c1,300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes18c1,201$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.191421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x886a…c167backed Yes15c1,186$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6116…f247backed Yes14c1,157$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.471553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x144f…0b76backed Yes13c1,154$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x75ee…1054backed Yes19c1,111$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x341c…8eaebacked Yes15c1,099$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…57edbacked Yes14c1,075$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.481040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e73…30b3backed Yes26c1,045$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.66825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-64.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82d9…0a2ebacked Yes16c1,044$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes15c1,000$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532516%4 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-62.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419d…09d1backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c00…6361backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1a…047fbacked Yes16c936.6$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes10c932.04$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.43100%0 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f4b…2a8abacked Yes16c915.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Yes13c840$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.21030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x876d…5238backed Yes21c799.74$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.95955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ec…cbe3backed Yes13c789.54$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.641040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6704…baa4backed Yes19c789.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed1a…6c60backed Yes20c785.71$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5aa…b6f8backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007234.7%25 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe43f…a33abacked Yes14c757.49$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb253…d006backed Yes19c754.51$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45cc…6400backed Yes16c750$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.51625%4 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes19c731.47$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.031010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-82.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Yes21c711.29$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.614836.5%54 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8db0…4cb0backed Yes15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aad…4c6abacked Yes22c688.75$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+102.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes22c679.18$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4816…e928backed Yes16c634.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-72.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1c…e2d3backed Yes18c622.22$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa87…6a63backed Yes15c593$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6837…15e1backed Yes17c590$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd565…2bf4backed Yes20c556$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…ed09backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes22c550$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Yes24c531.91$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4712857%73 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002532%8 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Yes8c506.56$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.521010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-87.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed Yes16c500$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a07…7768backed Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0033…3f54backed Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a38…67a9backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc86…3ecdbacked Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc236…f4fabacked Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+57.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes17c489.06$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.144146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Yes22c487.66$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.692744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0e1…0967backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9121…5f66backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes17c446.97$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes14c429.85$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4912816.4%21 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd4a…2553backed Yes16c429.67$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.95520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5d…a0f9backed Yes12c416.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6958…a2ffbacked Yes18c398.76$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7765…e182backed Yes16c375$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c26…0f35backed Yes15c370$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd35c…34e4backed Yes16c369.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d9…00edbacked Yes20c350$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694734%16 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x666f…d5d4backed Yes16c349.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d5…682bbacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9038…f74cbacked Yes22c318.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-60.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.