College Football · resolved market
Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x586637db373f72565025580bb8ce79a81b7c9d9804c75a33052d7fb10fdce3d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $647,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $647,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fb8…e817backed Yes | 18c | 111,280$20,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,543.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…1aa0backed Yes | 19c | 51,350$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…c238backed Yes | 19c | 35,531$6,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 15c | 30,567$4,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,474.63 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…82fbbacked Yes | 15c | 27,557$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.08 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…9848backed Yes | 19c | 11,123$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes | 9c | 10,810$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.9 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 19c | 9,599$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…24cfbacked Yes | 17c | 9,224$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 23c | 8,786$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.82 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 17c | 7,665$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.71 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 18c | 7,377$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.25 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 15c | 5,085$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.54 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 15c | 4,668$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.35 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c5…4fa3backed Yes | 19c | 3,885$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…372dbacked Yes | 17c | 3,666$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.49 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8e…014bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 18c | 3,214$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 17c | 3,151$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.32 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Yes | 21c | 3,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Yes | 15c | 2,500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,465$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.26 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…e2ebbacked Yes | 17c | 2,250$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 15c | 2,148$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.14 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.16 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 18c | 1,999$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.83 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…f2e0backed Yes | 17c | 1,749$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 13c | 1,585$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dc…8bc3backed Yes | 13c | 1,515$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…ca55backed Yes | 13c | 1,503$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f3a1backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…095fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad91…5a20backed Yes | 14c | 1,300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 18c | 1,201$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.19 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…c167backed Yes | 15c | 1,186$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 14c | 1,157$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x144f…0b76backed Yes | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ee…1054backed Yes | 19c | 1,111$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…8eaebacked Yes | 15c | 1,099$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…57edbacked Yes | 14c | 1,075$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e73…30b3backed Yes | 26c | 1,045$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…0a2ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,044$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…09d1backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…6361backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1a…047fbacked Yes | 16c | 936.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 10c | 932.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4b…2a8abacked Yes | 16c | 915.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Yes | 13c | 840$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…5238backed Yes | 21c | 799.74$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…cbe3backed Yes | 13c | 789.54$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…baa4backed Yes | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1a…6c60backed Yes | 20c | 785.71$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5aa…b6f8backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…a33abacked Yes | 14c | 757.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…d006backed Yes | 19c | 754.51$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 16c | 750$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 19c | 731.47$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.03 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 21c | 711.29$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…4cb0backed Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aad…4c6abacked Yes | 22c | 688.75$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes | 22c | 679.18$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4816…e928backed Yes | 16c | 634.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed Yes | 18c | 622.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa87…6a63backed Yes | 15c | 593$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed Yes | 17c | 590$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…2bf4backed Yes | 20c | 556$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…ed09backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes | 22c | 550$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Yes | 24c | 531.91$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.47 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 8c | 506.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed Yes | 16c | 500$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…7768backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0033…3f54backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…67a9backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc86…3ecdbacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…f4fabacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 17c | 489.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Yes | 22c | 487.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.69 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…0967backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…5f66backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 17c | 446.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 429.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4a…2553backed Yes | 16c | 429.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…a0f9backed Yes | 12c | 416.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6958…a2ffbacked Yes | 18c | 398.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7765…e182backed Yes | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c26…0f35backed Yes | 15c | 370$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35c…34e4backed Yes | 16c | 369.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 20c | 350$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…d5d4backed Yes | 16c | 349.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d5…682bbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…f74cbacked Yes | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?this page
- Will Ole Miss win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Florida State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Kansas State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will LSU win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Miami (FL) win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Missouri win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will NC State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Nebraska win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Oklahoma State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Oklahoma win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will USC win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Utah win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.