TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ddd…372d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst College Football at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$421.1
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+117.4%+$64.57
Spread: Indiana (-4.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Texas Tech win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$81.38
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69.62
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+56.3%+$101.25
O/U 56.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will LSU win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$41.56
Will Texas win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Spread: South Florida (-28.5)backed Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$607.49
Navy vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$14
Will Texas A&M win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$10.53
Will Ole Miss beat LSU?backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+143.9%+$88.5
Will Ohio St. beat Oregon by 4 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$24.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,435Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$609.52
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$138
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+242.7%+$265.61
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+35.9%+$52.8
Zircuit airdrop in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$11.99
Swell airdrop in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$10.5
Scroll airdrop in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.5
Puffer airdrop in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.5
Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$42.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,437.87
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$154
Trump declassifies Diddy list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$117.79
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+614.3%+$86
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.6
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$38.4
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.5
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$55.5
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$80
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$40.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+78%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,658Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,152.49
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+43.1%+$475.67
Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+1,011.1%+$273
Will Republicans have 51 seats in Senate after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$75
Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$15.9
Will Republicans have 52 seats in Senate after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$81
Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$18.3
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,386.91
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37,122.99
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.04
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.4
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$52.8
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.86
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.62
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27,780Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17,026.74
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+79%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,971Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,971.16
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,439Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$3,628.13
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+270.4%+$431.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+669.2%+$87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$77.5
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+153.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+153.2%+$120.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+45.8%+$157
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,020
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$94.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$957Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$957.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.