TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Stocks · resolved market

Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,782 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Stocks
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f85…a51bbacked No58c6,416$3,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.697071.4%50 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce7b…b13ebacked Yes48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x969f…4d55backed No40c4,603$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,772.791,11143.7%486 W · 625 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1317…ec7cbacked Yes51c4,444$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed No28c3,500$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c9…8beabacked No37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes2c2,536$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.721233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb01b…e951backed Yes72c1,972$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Yes76c1,850$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…d163backed No48c1,636$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c1,492$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.181,4448.8%127 W · 1,317 L-53.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-59.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes52c1,475$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb01…02e5backed No38c1,347$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.8423253.4%124 W · 108 L+18.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c87…fce0backed No20c1,340$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+389.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x490a…db32backed Yes17c1,310$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-58.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ee…2f52backed Yes68c1,264$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No42c1,023$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.187332.9%24 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b56…d1e1backed Yes31c894.22$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b08…0720backed Yes67c831.92$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa438…9b9fbacked Yes67c812.05$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dfe…c61cbacked Yes72c694.44$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc21e…0215backed No34c671.98$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.677034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…2901backed No33c653.52$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+199%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e01…2c8abacked No22c604.58$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbaa…a28ebacked Yes66c600$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12da…d12dbacked No49c599.99$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3082100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Yes53c566.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No58c564.14$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.787848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed No50c560.65$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked No45c549.3$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.65933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x038f…4535backed No24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a0…77d8backed Yes56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…97f4backed No47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2154…715cbacked Yes70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed No36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f8…0361backed No31c499.97$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+100.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x277e…7d32backed Yes69c499.75$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.22366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No55c498.63$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1115947.8%76 W · 83 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad78…6df3backed Yes67c475$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+106.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes10c454.51$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1613941.7%58 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes67c418.5$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21226237%97 W · 165 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes66c400$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26243838.8%170 W · 268 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No13c368.64$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.9721820.2%44 W · 174 L-22.2wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-54.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b29…1f46backed Yes39c356.2$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403915.4%6 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-66%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc81f…f627backed No43c354.65$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+67.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf60…af2dbacked No30c328.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+228.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cab…7222backed No32c315.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+215.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8420…6183backed Yes32c308.54$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6640%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe1c…49d4backed Yes7c296.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b2f…cd03backed Yes69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes56c282.45$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8156548.7%275 W · 290 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x455f…bd63backed Yes72c279.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d9…a1b2backed Yes77c261.04$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8936…d010backed Yes5c260.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3660229.9%180 W · 422 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeecc…ef84backed Yes68c250.4$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed No12c239.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.86631.8%21 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710d…02aabacked Yes59c225.13$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes74c223.91$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5781240.3%327 W · 485 L+37.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x673d…9e8cbacked Yes55c216.05$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed No49c216$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe7…2782backed Yes38c210.53$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ddf…7879backed Yes63c205.26$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…7db3backed Yes71c202.74$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2361…e16ebacked Yes68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13616844.6%75 W · 93 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc68f…85adbacked Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc072…9810backed Yes72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf159…230fbacked Yes68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ce0…6ecbbacked Yes13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x777f…c451backed Yes72c198.61$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1288…dac9backed Yes54c180.71$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.17825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-64.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.52321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfde…4006backed Yes67c150$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb353…3da4backed Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x763d…d0f2backed Yes67c148.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes9c143.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3704.3%3 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde3b…6e42backed No41c140.48$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.743100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+89.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3896…ece6backed Yes72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df8…93a6backed Yes72c138.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3121…dec8backed No62c128.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.851942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No28c126.67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8319934.2%68 W · 131 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…409cbacked No55c125$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes65c120.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.89258%2 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-79.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb120…f2ffbacked No44c110.6$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98e0…ceb9backed Yes58c110$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad3f…d320backed No47c103.71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae2…0eaebacked Yes69c102$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0d…081bbacked Yes59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb65e…3e11backed No30c101.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed No66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f0…c480backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee41…68cdbacked Yes72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa5b…4a6dbacked Yes72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c5…016abacked Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f9…8e0abacked No39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…0b88backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7635151.6%181 W · 170 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea5b…0e03backed Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8497…85f3backed Yes52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.