TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Stocks · resolved market

Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,111 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Stocks
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c3,844$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.491,4448.8%127 W · 1,317 L-53.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-59.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd7c…a8f0backed No80c2,664$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb4…b997backed Yes20c2,520$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.3699038%376 W · 614 L+2.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x034b…00b8backed Yes32c1,825$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…4d55backed Yes19c1,160$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.411,11143.7%486 W · 625 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes2c1,089$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.241505.3%8 W · 142 L+0.4wins0.00per pick5cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x609e…a64fbacked Yes22c928.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc21e…0215backed Yes19c903.7$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.197034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x038f…4535backed Yes22c800$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b00…936bbacked No74c753.39$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes15c711.57$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7456548.7%275 W · 290 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0e…46e7backed Yes20c700$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x372b…cbf5backed Yes14c699.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…6ce1backed Yes17c659.48$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e0…f715backed No77c631.36$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf388…5fc0backed Yes25c630.5$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63d6…9228backed Yes11c599.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes15c595.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.241822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e0…ceb9backed Yes20c595.08$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a0…9803backed No75c584.99$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked No76c582.5$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.637071.4%50 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5bf…8763backed Yes40c555$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.2230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes5c552.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.25704.3%3 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked No76c549.12$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes13c459.71$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2119934.2%68 W · 131 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x143c…55febacked Yes17c450.61$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bdd…a74dbacked Yes17c446.33$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No74c441.62$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.517332.9%24 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x214c…6378backed No77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e73…d43fbacked No59c399.99$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes12c371.61$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.152512%3 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7083…49f9backed No39c334.31$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes16c329.07$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1386338.1%329 W · 534 L-43.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Yes30c328.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e66…86a3backed Yes19c316.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+73.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4919…067ebacked No79c304.74$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c5…016abacked Yes17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc6…b817backed Yes15c280.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes31c254.09$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.77258%2 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-79.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Yes19c234.64$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.98728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes49c234.16$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0781240.3%327 W · 485 L+37.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecd6…4afdbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Yes25c200.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f8…0361backed No70c199.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+100.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2721…325bbacked Yes17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No69c199.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+139.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes17c198.58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8827429.2%80 W · 194 L-16.6wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x45b0…ceebbacked No49c193$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.621758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes16c173.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.09540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes29c173.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3710827.8%30 W · 78 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x68d8…55e6backed No75c167.67$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No74c167.08$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1612035%42 W · 78 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a75…e8ffbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1335…a28cbacked Yes31c160.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3271…96edbacked Yes20c160$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82e3…2151backed Yes65c153.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0674…d6c1backed Yes21c150$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf160…a3d3backed Yes16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.59835.7%35 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked No69c145.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.04933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6dfe…c61cbacked No71c140.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8420…6183backed Yes30c130.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0240%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba0…64fabacked No77c129.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes12c127.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.719124.2%22 W · 69 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb65e…3e11backed No63c127.78$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.281353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fc9…15f9backed Yes27c125.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabed…b14ebacked No74c121.35$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9099…8491backed No58c119.1$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.054443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb02…05d7backed Yes16c108.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2937…ad07backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa16b…8d7fbacked No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+50%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x302a…8227backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e1…3b95backed No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b7a…d35bbacked No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0772…e8abbacked Yes28c99.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…5d71backed No67c99.98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec7b…ce96backed Yes30c99.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked No51c97.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.131952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes27c95.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8421820.2%44 W · 174 L-22.2wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-54.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9230…63b2backed Yes30c88.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00b2…9e4abacked Yes32c78.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2d…2444backed Yes22c69.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df6…1849backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd4e…fa12backed Yes18c65.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70de…b98ebacked Yes32c63.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b33…6fc2backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c5…67b4backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed No50c60.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.29100%9 W · 0 L+4.0wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+86.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe204…cfb5backed No77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+108%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91b1…3836backed Yes24c56.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8357…db26backed Yes18c56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2897…0004backed Yes26c53.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb845…8d82backed Yes30c53.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74b6…41d8backed No78c51.59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.59580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e7…89ecbacked Yes24c50.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9968…992dbacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb580…d521backed Yes21c49.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9921…0082backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No74c39.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3529323.2%68 W · 225 L-31.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-44.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.