Stocks · resolved market
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3b42c9a6c33244f2e8ca8730065aa8fe5fd86f79f1902b0e8cfe285fbefb72e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x038f…4535backed Yes | 16c | 4,600$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397b…1681backed Yes | 0c | 3,846$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…e8cfbacked Yes | 0c | 3,800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 7c | 3,298$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.51 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…61e4backed Yes | 1c | 1,578$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…6ce1backed Yes | 7c | 1,387$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…8da4backed Yes | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…86a3backed Yes | 8c | 1,107$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…2668backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…747abacked Yes | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…cd03backed Yes | 10c | 999.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…04f5backed Yes | 11c | 885.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +240.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 2c | 788.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d5…bb27backed Yes | 13c | 760.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 6c | 758.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…e64dbacked Yes | 9c | 739.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 4c | 737.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 701.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 1,443 | 8.8%127 W · 1,316 L | -53.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 3c | 691.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed Yes | 3c | 690.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…e999backed Yes | 3c | 568$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 24c | 555$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 7c | 499.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…928cbacked Yes | 3c | 488$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 14c | 481$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…ee23backed Yes | 9c | 444.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 79c | 437.96$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 10c | 416.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…8ed3backed Yes | 7c | 412.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 266.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…533cbacked Yes | 11c | 262.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942a…02f6backed Yes | 15c | 259.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db7…c5a2backed Yes | 4c | 238.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe631…3498backed Yes | 8c | 237.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 12c | 221.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -22.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…1e2cbacked Yes | 5c | 220.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x436d…68e5backed Yes | 10c | 220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…02b6backed Yes | 8c | 213.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…0824backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9975…1b85backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…8602backed Yes | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…0bcfbacked Yes | 9c | 185.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Yes | 30c | 183.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526c…afe9backed Yes | 12c | 166$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed Yes | 10c | 159.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…3787backed Yes | 14c | 141.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…e39dbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9230…63b2backed Yes | 13c | 125.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…9498backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…d43fbacked No | 78c | 108.13$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…8d7fbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a75…5271backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9a…1ea3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…1abfbacked Yes | 22c | 88.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…4bffbacked Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fa…86a6backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??this page
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $230 before 2026??No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $250 before 2026??No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $260 before 2026??No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $275 before 2026??No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $285 before 2026??No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $290 before 2026??No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $305 before 2026??Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $320 before 2026??Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.