TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Stocks · resolved market

Will Google (GOOGL) hit $290 before 2026??

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,481 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Stocks
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x969f…4d55backed Yes25c2,899$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.021,11243.7%486 W · 626 L+25.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes20c2,169$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.097726%20 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa704…867cbacked Yes47c1,540$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2322…7138backed No53c1,540$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db0…c35fbacked Yes47c1,540$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…818bbacked Yes47c1,540$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7663…fefdbacked No53c1,540$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b58…72bebacked No53c1,540$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb892…d78cbacked No53c1,540$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb11…2075backed Yes47c1,540$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcea8…7d28backed Yes47c1,540$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde6c…d0d6backed No53c1,540$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb01…02e5backed No40c1,465$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.0423253.4%124 W · 108 L+18.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes17c1,404$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2395628.6%16 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes24c1,164$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.555937.3%22 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes20c964.26$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.892512%3 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc12a…dc73backed No72c962.98$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.534148.8%20 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x141f…8a4ebacked No70c921.03$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb4…b997backed No79c801.1$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9599038%376 W · 614 L+2.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes9c737.28$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.741,4448.8%127 W · 1,317 L-53.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-59.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96e9…4b32backed No74c704.52$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.294146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x475a…403abacked No70c619.34$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No79c599.59$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6356548.7%275 W · 290 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d3…a77bbacked No54c574.12$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+54.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8936…d010backed Yes25c554.52$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7460229.9%180 W · 422 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc42f…78a0backed Yes33c528.23$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.36771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+161.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-65%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes23c486.52$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3581240.3%327 W · 485 L+37.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No77c476.96$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.977332.9%24 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66f1…2dd9backed No73c472.99$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+128.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No75c388.95$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0212035%42 W · 78 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes71c360$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.65628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7c…c08ebacked Yes23c339.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes30c336.6$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ccb…3135backed Yes31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488a…3781backed No70c255.68$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23ca…9ae6backed No77c252.33$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.536100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No68c200$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6526237%97 W · 165 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee41…68cdbacked Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71ac…2698backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c0…1c8ebacked No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b29…1f46backed Yes31c192.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603915.4%6 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-66%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes20c188.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4927429.2%80 W · 194 L-16.6wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.643838.8%170 W · 268 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff7…87a4backed No63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff7f…264dbacked Yes23c152.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No77c149.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.517049.4%84 W · 86 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fd…104ebacked No70c141.42$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc21e…0215backed No79c140.23$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.787034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed No71c138.65$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes9c128.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5704.3%3 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d95…158cbacked Yes36c111.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf428…88f9backed Yes22c105$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x697a…d5aabacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2406…2dd1backed No79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd1…ac3fbacked No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad78…6df3backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+106.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08b7…7d6abacked Yes21c92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf03…3f1dbacked Yes20c87.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes34c85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.91822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa43…c686backed No75c77.93$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.86650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74b6…41d8backed No69c75.72$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.72580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Yes32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.15728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9099…8491backed No69c71.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.974443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No41c69.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.819934.2%68 W · 131 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e32…8a33backed No63c68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.163100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b31…4595backed Yes39c68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked No61c68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490a…db32backed No60c67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-58.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe95d…b2a1backed Yes38c65.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa82e…b971backed No78c65.38$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes34c62.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.24258%2 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-79.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ae6…7485backed Yes29c61.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.811631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.299835.7%35 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes32c59.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.999124.2%22 W · 69 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6853…dc08backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0e…46e7backed Yes20c56.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f7…f224backed Yes21c54.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes30c52.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7621820.2%44 W · 174 L-22.2wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-54.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x123b…2745backed No78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x061c…ce82backed No79c50.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1027338.1%104 W · 169 L-19.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x710d…02aabacked No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2515947.8%76 W · 83 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6183…3834backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa8f…d61bbacked Yes43c46.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202060%12 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No66c42.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.422129%64 W · 157 L-14.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked No78c40.92$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0255…2fe3backed Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc09…7a22backed No67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde28…53f5backed No71c38.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed No77c36.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090f…312fbacked No72c34.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d2…ea45backed Yes43c33.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa63f…2f61backed No73c33.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe728…ee58backed No77c30.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.032661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb04e…0eb8backed No57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdea…c050backed No70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.