TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe95d…b2a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT7550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+998.9%+$149.84
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.12
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.97
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.85
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$42.74
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.48
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.05
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.29
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.91
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.51
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$79.53
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.92
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$30.56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$193.07
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+163.7%+$40.93
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$36.24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$40.17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$19.94
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$61.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$159.77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$65.72
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$91.49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$59.57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$151.3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$14.41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$45.12
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.8%+$74.63
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$1,621.61
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+68.4%+$68.37
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$415
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$340
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+31.3%+$46.97
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+27.3%+$765.77
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+40.8%+$306.34
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$185
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Alcaraz? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+40%+$40.03
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$35.26
US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.89
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+35.9%+$59.16
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex de Minaurbacked Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$119.3
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+34.8%+$114.69
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$391
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+37%+$108.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+82.7%+$33.06
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$85
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+136.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $290 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$47.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$33.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$63.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.