NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63111e350c79af92e1a56ed535541fa19b981a2b5e413b7c476dd9d473414aaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,059,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,220,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,059,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 40c | 430,802$172,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258,481.41 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pistons | 59c | 337,661$200,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,760.32 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 41c | 299,064$123,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175,438.35 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Pistons | 32c | 223,717$72,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,035.92 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Magic | 40c | 204,114$81,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,468.15 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pistons | 31c | 182,556$56,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,797.95 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Pistons | 58c | 176,472$102,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,354 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Magic | 53c | 150,260$79,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,071.38 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Pistons | 60c | 98,785$59,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,271.25 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 41c | 94,999$38,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,049.64 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Pistons | 58c | 91,857$53,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,146.32 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Pistons | 58c | 83,954$48,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,737.2 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Pistons | 10c | 78,663$7,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,631.69 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Magic | 44c | 76,990$33,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,183.74 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Pistons | 60c | 76,670$46,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,001.81 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Magic | 45c | 73,367$33,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,151.76 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Magic | 42c | 72,999$30,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,339.65 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Magic | 66c | 70,330$46,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,099.41 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Magic | 41c | 68,222$27,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,300.8 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons | 54c | 56,379$30,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,200.25 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Magic | 79c | 54,684$43,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,572.36 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Magic | 41c | 50,000$20,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,499.82 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Pistons | 7c | 48,898$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.45 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Pistons | 44c | 48,320$21,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,260.8 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 40c | 45,361$18,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,291.53 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic | 41c | 42,222$17,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,910.82 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Pistons | 56c | 36,866$20,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,645.08 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Pistons | 45c | 31,577$14,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,209.76 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 58c | 30,888$17,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,837.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Magic | 44c | 30,027$13,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,879.56 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Magic | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.98 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Pistons | 62c | 27,650$17,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,143.03 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Pistons | 65c | 27,426$17,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,771.72 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…134ebacked Magic | 41c | 26,350$10,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,546.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Pistons | 48c | 26,309$12,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,587.89 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 57c | 25,942$14,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,891.14 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…45c6backed Pistons | 60c | 24,400$14,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,640 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Pistons | 60c | 24,400$14,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,640 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Pistons | 60c | 24,339$14,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,603.4 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Magic | 52c | 23,239$12,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,164.67 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Pistons | 43c | 23,055$9,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,990.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -61%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Magic | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,999.93 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…732cbacked Pistons | 54c | 19,500$10,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,519.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 54c | 19,478$10,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,866.9 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Magic | 55c | 17,700$9,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,969.92 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Pistons | 60c | 17,560$10,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,536.12 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Pistons | 47c | 16,463$7,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,749.03 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Magic | 43c | 15,610$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,849.7 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…5318backed Magic | 44c | 15,554$6,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,710.46 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 72c | 15,379$11,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.4 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 61c | 14,452$8,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,626.01 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Pistons | 65c | 14,000$9,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,159.97 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Magic | 43c | 13,965$6,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,960.04 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…e03cbacked Pistons | 73c | 13,911$10,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,154.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic | 50c | 13,832$6,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,855.28 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pistons | 48c | 13,650$6,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,616.58 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Pistons | 59c | 13,520$7,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,977.04 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Magic | 42c | 13,379$5,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,759.83 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Pistons | 59c | 13,226$7,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,803.2 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Pistons | 46c | 13,022$5,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,956.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Magic | 50c | 12,794$6,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,356.85 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 57c | 12,737$7,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,202.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Pistons | 2c | 11,832$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Pistons | 35c | 11,831$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,085.33 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Magic | 41c | 11,763$4,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,940.41 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Magic | 53c | 11,428$6,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,392.62 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Pistons | 60c | 11,322$6,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,792.96 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Pistons | 57c | 10,895$6,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,255.02 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Pistons | 57c | 10,872$6,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,236.8 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Pistons | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Magic | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,299.97 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Pistons | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.95 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc8…6ca6backed Pistons | 60c | 9,879$5,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,927.44 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Pistons | 60c | 9,760$5,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,856 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Pistons | 58c | 9,748$5,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,653.84 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons | 51c | 9,707$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.22 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Pistons | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Magic | 44c | 9,665$4,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,391.27 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…e047backed Pistons | 60c | 9,481$5,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,688.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Pistons | 41c | 9,468$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871.6 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Pistons | 7c | 9,442$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.94 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Magic | 60c | 9,272$5,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.96 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 58c | 9,203$5,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,337.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 59c | 9,191$5,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,434.62 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Pistons | 57c | 9,000$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,169.94 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Pistons | 57c | 9,000$5,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,174.91 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons | 50c | 8,661$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.93 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Magic | 41c | 8,619$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.11 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Magic | 40c | 8,500$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,119.88 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Pistons | 60c | 8,420$5,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,047.56 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Pistons | 46c | 8,087$3,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,730.97 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Pistons | 48c | 7,956$3,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,841.03 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Magic | 28c | 7,689$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,535.77 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Magic | 63c | 7,544$4,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.15 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Magic | 41c | 7,290$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.89 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Magic | 60c | 7,181$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,885.39 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 46c | 6,970$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,753.96 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Magic | 54c | 6,911$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,203.78 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Pistons | 43c | 6,861$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.9 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Magic | 42c | 6,737$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920.24 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Magic won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.