TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x47f8…6699

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT3354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$9,852Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,851.97
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,038.23
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8,388.39
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10,979Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,979.31
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,116.56
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14,746Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6,624.84
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13,332Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6,273.89
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17,587Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4,960.3
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14,465Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8,865.8
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,488.97
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14,950Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9,557.89
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,619Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$7,759.83
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,834Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,834.27
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,473.31
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$8,884Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$8,883.66
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16,004Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4,513.88
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11,327Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10,455.29
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14,841Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9,893.98
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,308Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$7,112.92
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,422Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,421.88
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,614Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$3,774.78
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,970Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$2,940.59
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,830Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$3,279.21
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,525Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$2,376.24
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,467Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,467.33
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$7,499Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$9,165.77
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,823Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,823.25
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$7,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,146.36
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$6,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,696.11
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,439.64
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,750.15
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,590.13
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,914Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$15,389.8
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11,458Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13,450.6
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,934.85
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,047.5
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,000.38
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,396Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$13,577.27
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,082Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$12,926.92
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,006Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,335.71
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,727.72
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,386.14
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,079.21
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-48.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,646.31
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,352.41
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,862Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$6,862.07
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$9,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,499.07
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$7,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,935.95
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$9,499.07
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,535.34
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13,343Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,343.11
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,677Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,676.68
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,645Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$6,304.5
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$8,802Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,802.45
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10,734Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$3,970.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$7,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,391.43
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,751Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,751.4
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$263.68
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10,759Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,759.38
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,291.54
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,635.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,762Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,762.38
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,597Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$4,778.06
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,213
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,402Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$3,310.88
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$3,690.83
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,138.61
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,970Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$3,920.79
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10,195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$15,292.62
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$8,060Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$4,533.58
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$9,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,359.18
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,634Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$7,247.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,316Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$6,316.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,799Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$5,575.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,699Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,994.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,103.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$6,672Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,672.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.