TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,886,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,886,219 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a57…2afabacked Pacers15c320,036$48,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,005.48944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Pacers15c299,999$45,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,999.8443542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pacers18c279,741$49,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,944.6436549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pacers14c103,052$14,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,427.2748343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pacers14c79,990$11,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,548.6219645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Pacers14c74,846$10,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,309.7417050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Pacers12c67,200$8,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,063.9638434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Pacers14c48,168$6,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,661.932540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Pacers15c36,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.9937539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Pacers14c34,378$4,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,669.1129250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Pacers15c33,500$5,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,02540446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Pacers0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Pacers13c21,342$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,783.5914738.1%56 W · 91 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Knicks80c18,853$15,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,780.5589444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pacers15c18,616$2,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,856.21,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Pacers12c16,154$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pacers11c16,017$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.0547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pacers0c15,440$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.117211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Pacers15c15,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25015545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Pacers12c15,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8009018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Pacers15c13,193$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.0221250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed Pacers13c11,287$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.333354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pacers14c10,500$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.2946928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Pacers13c10,256$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.21,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pacers7c10,190$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.291,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Pacers12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Pacers15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Pacers12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2006546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Pacers13c9,940$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.219957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Pacers13c9,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1703540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Pacers11c8,521$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.521,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Pacers16c8,251$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.799733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76cb…55d3backed Pacers13c7,692$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Pacers13c7,672$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.9961336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64a…e66abacked Pacers14c7,132$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9983933.3%13 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x055d…1ef0backed Pacers7c6,951$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.51333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-53.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x175e…49b4backed Pacers15c6,681$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Pacers15c6,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Pacers12c6,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72016635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76ab…506dbacked Pacers12c5,700$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6844551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Pacers13c5,377$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69918140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Pacers13c5,175$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.755044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers12c5,050$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6061,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pacers13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers0c4,965$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.018820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Pacers14c4,444$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.1641832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Pacers13c4,032$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.0931455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Pacers14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56012524.8%31 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Pacers20c3,900$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.999629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa394…89e9backed Pacers14c3,438$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…b1a9backed Pacers15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Pacers15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Pacers13c3,077$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40054838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Pacers9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27018931.2%59 W · 130 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Pacers12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bd…a9febacked Pacers7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.992123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Pacers7c2,914$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3629547.5%140 W · 155 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6231…84bbbacked Pacers14c2,877$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.756046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Pacers22c2,677$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59721944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c7…b2cabacked Pacers21c2,600$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.641225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Pacers13c2,584$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.6677549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Pacers18c2,580$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.9410850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pacers20c2,557$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.632,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Pacers18c2,523$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.51,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers10c2,505$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.861,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Pacers12c2,400$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.2886641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc1…f823backed Pacers15c2,347$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Pacers10c2,313$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3226839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c32…e11dbacked Pacers15c2,300$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Pacers13c2,267$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.172839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeac3…a6bcbacked Pacers1c2,226$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pacers7c2,178$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.081,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ab…2ae0backed Pacers13c2,151$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.63955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+53.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03d9…e693backed Pacers1c2,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51690%0 W · 169 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79f6…8f75backed Pacers13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Pacers13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26020847.6%99 W · 109 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Pacers8c1,950$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.362839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers13c1,884$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.921,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacers24c1,795$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.883,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc53c…9525backed Pacers13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.91353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Pacers13c1,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8452844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Pacers17c1,495$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.99938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cb6…32d5backed Pacers15c1,471$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-53.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Pacers12c1,438$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0733139.3%130 W · 201 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pacers14c1,411$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.262,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x947f…100dbacked Pacers12c1,390$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-82.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10d8…b398backed Pacers15c1,379$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8523359.7%139 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Pacers15c1,379$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks80c1,352$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.021,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Pacers13c1,334$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4147354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1293…e575backed Pacers14c1,300$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.681435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f02…f51ebacked Pacers12c1,280$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Pacers12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc71…13e1backed Pacers15c1,217$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Pacers15c1,180$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17718553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Pacers16c1,156$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5861939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Pacers16c1,147$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.1830840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Pacers15c1,111$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.653333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+65.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf000…5281backed Pacers1c1,067$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed Pacers10c1,051$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010034%34 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.