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NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Knicks, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$329,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,921 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Knicks1c93,664$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.6454549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Knicks52c87,439$45,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,245.031,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Pacers48c29,925$14,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,56112639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Knicks52c28,846$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00011457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers48c24,365$11,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,607.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pacers49c21,188$10,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,892.942,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,4001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Knicks51c19,532$9,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,961.3660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers49c16,658$8,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,546.444,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers49c11,103$5,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,666.32,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pacers48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers48c8,546$4,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,443.921,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Pacers51c4,162$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.449018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pacers47c3,983$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.9919645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc09…3079backed Knicks52c3,850$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.56839.7%27 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks50c3,737$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.262,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers50c3,520$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.244,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c86…d939backed Knicks53c3,410$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8005655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Knicks53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5901,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfc1…4c86backed Pacers46c2,787$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55f3…d5aabacked Pacers46c2,515$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Knicks53c2,494$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.641553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc48…d567backed Knicks54c2,411$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers48c2,352$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.832,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c5d…d28dbacked Pacers46c2,334$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d07…ba99backed Knicks54c2,332$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks47c2,273$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.421,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6138…d1bebacked Pacers46c2,266$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde3d…6368backed Knicks54c2,158$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x826e…9205backed Knicks54c2,125$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e0…d14bbacked Knicks54c2,105$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Pacers48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3364944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e4…abe4backed Pacers46c2,044$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Pacers49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.825147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…95c7backed Pacers46c2,020$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks53c2,017$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.684,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x545c…2d38backed Knicks54c1,955$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2d…7f1bbacked Pacers46c1,922$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Knicks53c1,886$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50a7…6f74backed Knicks54c1,814$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2eb…372abacked Knicks54c1,808$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35c…7d33backed Pacers46c1,798$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks51c1,764$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.871,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90be…ad6bbacked Knicks54c1,717$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc009…6092backed Pacers46c1,606$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce8d…1134backed Knicks54c1,605$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks51c1,208$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.854,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers47c1,110$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.816,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Pacers48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6624050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Pacers46c1,036$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.1817050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Knicks52c891.27$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.63,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Pacers49c880.1$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.181349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865e…e8dfbacked Pacers46c601$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe702…563fbacked Pacers46c587.45$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.453636.1%13 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Knicks52c584.14$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.7541947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Knicks53c584$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.645151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Pacers48c559.37$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.6617153.2%91 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Knicks53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26565762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Pacers45c499.94$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9652844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Knicks53c489.62$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.3348751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pacers49c459.18$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.182,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Knicks51c447$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9726839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Pacers48c416.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6618147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Pacers49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20451753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Pacers49c392.82$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.951,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Knicks52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pacers46c374.97$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.511,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Knicks54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers49c337.04$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.013,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers48c327.72$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.733,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Pacers48c295$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.454246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Knicks53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers54c241.17$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks54c229.85$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.622,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked Pacers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3315744.6%70 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Knicks52c200.91$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4714053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Knicks52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10461957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Pacers48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10415446.1%71 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks44c195.45$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.962,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Knicks52c193.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4314466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x641a…e1a5backed Pacers46c192.5$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.95850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Knicks52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Knicks53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Knicks52c187.72$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6130453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Knicks54c186.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4792058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…a7c3backed Pacers46c177$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e28…88adbacked Pacers46c172$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba80…01f1backed Pacers46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+38.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Knicks52c160$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.259144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Knicks52c158.12$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2257650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Knicks52c158$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1623655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Pacers48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2533748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Knicks51c156$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.561,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Knicks51c148$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4827455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a93…497cbacked Pacers46c144$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e16…f883backed Pacers46c133$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x666f…7704backed Knicks54c131$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Knicks52c130$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.642853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.