TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Knicks, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,208 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Knicks57c16,926$9,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,637.8236359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers44c14,948$6,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,319.789,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers44c9,366$4,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,233.618,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers50c8,694$4,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,342.114,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Knicks56c7,840$4,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,377.3631644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Knicks57c6,576$3,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,748.3229347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c86…d939backed Knicks57c6,295$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6005655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks48c4,438$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.061,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Knicks57c4,130$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,353.8934851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks54c3,779$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.584,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pacers44c3,267$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.5219645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc09e…bed1backed Pacers41c2,794$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Knicks55c2,730$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006756.7%38 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff1c…0555backed Pacers41c2,454$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x918b…ce4cbacked Knicks59c2,398$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7fb…ea35backed Pacers41c2,366$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f2d…9cdfbacked Pacers41c2,355$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x341c…c6c2backed Pacers41c2,345$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x705e…10f3backed Knicks59c2,313$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5840…c438backed Knicks59c2,265$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b90…05cdbacked Knicks59c2,243$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d3c…4ddbbacked Knicks59c2,236$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd8…93f6backed Knicks59c2,213$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb44f…8c20backed Knicks57c2,193$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2502450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x279c…88bfbacked Pacers41c2,104$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…742bbacked Pacers41c2,020$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f59…2c56backed Pacers41c1,988$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf58…e1aebacked Knicks59c1,924$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Knicks56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00041954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7efc…1e81backed Pacers41c1,730$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd965…d682backed Pacers41c1,728$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks54c1,666$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.642,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc082…0316backed Pacers41c1,664$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1203…794ebacked Knicks59c1,641$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa96…acbfbacked Knicks59c1,633$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…5834backed Knicks59c1,523$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.5720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0660…bac7backed Knicks59c1,502$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers43c1,329$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.713,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks54c1,258$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.533,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Pacers43c1,162$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.2217050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers46c1,157$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.52,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd44…f50fbacked Knicks59c1,102$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks56c1,079$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.554,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada7…8dbcbacked Knicks60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pacers44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa182…03fabacked Knicks58c899.98$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.998949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e9…a60cbacked Pacers44c868.49$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.492231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Knicks65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers43c717.61$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.543,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks56c693$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf1d…e539backed Knicks59c555$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7885…e04fbacked Pacers42c523.45$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.62268.2%15 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.23per pick45cpaid+47.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Knicks53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26533146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Knicks49c486.87$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.592,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers53c437.68$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.633,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacers42c374.03$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.815,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks55c364$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.562,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Knicks52c364$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2814155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Pacers44c359.79$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.141,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks57c351.31$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.694,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Knicks57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Knicks57c337$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.091,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Pacers45c320$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17645646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Knicks53c301.12$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2629646.6%138 W · 158 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Knicks56c273.7$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Knicks28c251.07$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7046346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Pacers47c248.39$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1723348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Pacers70c242.9$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2283039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Pacers47c236.14$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.554327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Knicks53c235.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12532654.3%177 W · 149 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks55c219.36$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.651,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Pacers43c214.02$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9950948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pacers54c201.06$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.741,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc897…f3b3backed Knicks13c200.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92c4…ffc4backed Pacers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…dba8backed Knicks56c183.04$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.51942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Knicks57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Pacers35c167.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8426839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a29…288ebacked Pacers41c164$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Pacers45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8856547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dc1…3be4backed Pacers42c151$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.58683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick44cpaid+61.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Knicks58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8731947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers46c145.72$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.833,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed Pacers43c143.03$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.532454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pacers42c133.26$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.851,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x820d…297cbacked Pacers42c132$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+63.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pacers43c128.52$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.262,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf983…d35cbacked Pacers42c125$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+55.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Knicks57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7029844%131 W · 167 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Pacers43c121.28$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.031,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Knicks46c111.24$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.748739.8%194 W · 293 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pacers46c107$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.782,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Knicks57c102.18$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2420762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks56c97.01$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.332,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b89…f3a9backed Knicks53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Pacers54c93.53$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9729645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks56c89.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Pacers43c89.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8820350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pacers42c83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.142,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pacers46c80.79$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.462,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.