TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b89…f3a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT6344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.96
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.2
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$34.47
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.55
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.21
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.55
Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.11
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$16.28
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$49
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$45.04
Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$41.46
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.02
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$24
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$46.12
Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)backed Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.3
National Bank Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
The Memphis Classic: Talia Gibson vs Tatjana Mariabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.25
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$61.98
Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Liam Draxlbacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hamburg European Open: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherifbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$154.87
Sabalenka vs. Osaka: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Safiullin vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Arnaldi vs. Collignon: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Mboko vs. Keys: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.54
Cerundolo vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Berrettini vs. Comesana: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$17.83
Cobolli vs. Tien: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.25
Ruud vs. Paul: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Comesana (+1.5)backed Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5)backed Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+167.5%+$28.18
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16backed JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+200%+$77.39
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12backed Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: ABT Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 7backed ABT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Cbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.73
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$84.33
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.14
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.99
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.52
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$35.29
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$28.6
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.67
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.92
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-69.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$73.5
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: VARREL vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.